Market analysts on trade with China: “It’s not going to change on a whim”

As U.S. leaders work to secure more trade deals, there is still some hope that China will return to the U.S. soybean market.

The Senior Market Analyst for Barchart, and frequent Market Day Report guest, Darin Newsom says it might not happen again in our lifetimes.

“No, the U.S. is not going to regain its foothold. There’s nothing that’s going to happen that’s going to change that again. This is long-term damage that has been done in trade relations. Long-term to China is not what the U.S. thinks, which is hours to maybe days; it’s a very short attention span. The U.S. is known for its ADHD. China, long-term, is centuries, so you know, we’re not dealing with something that’s just going to change on a whim, much like what we see happening here in the U.S. So, no, the U.S. isn’t going to immediately jump back into the game. it’s going to take a long time to rebuild any sort of demand coming from China.”

Finding a trade balance with China has been a top priority for the Administration this week. Several cabinet members just returned from London after meeting with Chinese officials. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent was part of that delegation, who is testifying before the House and Ways Committee currently.

Related Stories
National Corn Growers Association Chief Economist Krista Swanson discusses corn supply pressures, market fundamentals, policy considerations, and producer outlook for the year ahead.
The proposal signals a renewed push to offset tariff-driven losses, stabilize nutrition programs, and broaden eligibility for farm aid, though its path forward will depend on congressional negotiations.
House Agriculture Committee Democrats are calling for action on the Farm and Family Relief Act, warning that proposed SNAP cost shifts to states could reduce food assistance for low-income families amid ongoing tariffs and trade disruptions that continue to strain U.S. farmers.
Tight beef cow supplies and steady demand point to continued record-level cull cow prices in 2026.
RFD News correspondent Frank McCaffrey reports from Texas on the ongoing water dispute and its implications for U.S. farmers.
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney discusses the latest developments in the Supreme Court, trade tariffs, and the future of the USMCA under President Donald Trump.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Mike Steenhoek with the Soy Transportation Coalition discusses supply chain challenges facing agriculture as snow, sleet and ice threaten most of the Eastern U.S.
Congressman Adrian Smith of Nebraska joined us with the latest on efforts to secure year-round E15 sales.
Nearly everyone in the South Texas ag community appears extremely worried about the potential of a New World screwworm epidemic, according to a local veterinarian. RFD NEWS Correspondent Frank McCaffrey reports.
Large-scale land purchases signal rising competition for ranchland, reinforcing its value while reshaping long-term access and control in rural agriculture.
Brian Earnest, an animal protein economist with CoBank, shares insights into current demand trends and the challenges facing broiler production.
Jack Hubbard, with the Center for the Environment and Welfare, shares context and perspective on the controversial letter about Prop 12 circulating in Washington and how a review shows it misled the public.