Midwest Farmland Values Gain While Credit Conditions Tighten

Strong land values contrast with mounting credit pressure.

SHERRY_SHAVER_19_07_31_US_NY_BEAVERKILL_TROUT_HATCHERY_0034.jpg

Beaverkill Trout Hatchery in New York (2019)

FarmHER, Inc.

CHICAGO, Ill. (RFD NEWS) — Midwest farmland values improved in 2025, but rising credit stress signals tougher financial conditions ahead for producers.

The Chicago Federal Reserve reported that Seventh District farmland values rose six percent last year, reversing a small decline in 2024. Good-quality land increased by two percent in the fourth quarter. Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa posted single-digit annual gains, while Wisconsin also moved higher.

Credit conditions weakened. The share of farm loans with major or severe repayment problems climbed to 5.6 percent in the fourth quarter — the highest since 2020. Demand for operating loans increased for the ninth straight quarter, while funds available for lending declined for the eleventh consecutive quarter. Thirty percent of banks tightened farm credit standards compared to a year ago.

Interest rates edged lower late in the year, but bankers expect lower capital spending in 2026. Non-real estate loan volumes are projected to rise, while real estate lending is expected to soften.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong land values contrast with mounting credit pressure.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
USDA will elevate its “Plant Not Plastic” initiative and promote American cotton over synthetic fibers.
North Dakota State University’s Dr. Shawn Arita joins us to break down new research on U.S. ag export losses tied to retaliatory tariffs and what they signal for trade moving forward.
With U.S. cattle supplies already tight, drought response remains a long-term supply issue.
Several counties are reviewing disaster declarations. Crop insurance may help growers cover some costs.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Chicago Fed lenders report producers are carrying more operating debt as repayment rates continue weakening across the Midwest.
Cattle markets continue supporting rural land values, but lenders say repayment rates and carryover debt are becoming a larger focus.
StoneX analyst Josh Linville says global supply risks and continued dependence on imported urea are keeping fertilizer markets on edge.
The lockout has not yet signaled a major disruption in the cattle market, but processing reliability remains important in a tight beef supply chain.
CECU President and CEO Jason Altmire discusses rural workforce shortages, technical skills, and why hands-on labor remains critical despite AI growth.
Feed grain supplies may tighten in 2026/27, supporting higher corn and sorghum prices despite large crops.