Milk Production Rises As Herd Expansion Continues Nationwide

Growing milk supply may pressure prices ahead.

dairy ag labor reform 1280.jpg

Market Day Report

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — Milk production increased in February as herd growth and improved yields continue to expand U.S. dairy output, adding pressure on prices but supporting export potential.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) reports U.S. milk production at 18.3 billion pounds, up 2.9 percent from a year ago. In the 24 major states, production reached 17.6 billion pounds, up 3.1 percent. Output per cow also improved, with national averages rising to 1,899 pounds per head, reflecting continued gains in productivity.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Growing milk supply may pressure prices ahead.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

Operationally, herd expansion remains a key driver. The U.S. dairy herd reached 9.62 million head, up 211,000 from last year and continuing a steady upward trend. Producers are maintaining larger herds while also improving milk components and efficiency, supporting overall production growth.

Regionally, expansion remains concentrated in key dairy states, including Texas, Idaho, and South Dakota, while some traditional regions show more modest changes. Increased processing capacity in growth regions is also supporting higher output levels.

Looking ahead, rising milk supplies could put downward pressure on domestic prices, but stronger export demand and competitive pricing may help balance markets.

Related Stories
Strong exports and prices are helping offset rising milk supplies.
Event focuses on helping communities grow through local business
Jarrod Hardke with the University of Arkansas break down extreme drought conditions, shifting planting decisions, and the impact of rising input costs on Arkansas agriculture this season.
Oklahoma livestock economist Dr. Derrell Peel helps us break down the April Cattle-on-Feed report and what it signals for herd rebuilding, supplies and prices moving forward.
Spring Weather Shapes Planting Pace Across U.S. Regions
Hemp growth is driven by floral demand, with mixed returns elsewhere.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Rep. Adrian Smith joins us to discuss the push for nationwide year-round E15 sales and legislative hurdles for getting it into the farm bill.
Steady Panama Canal operations help support more predictable shipping conditions for global agriculture.
Lower slaughter numbers reduced 2025 red meat output even with heavier cattle and hogs.
Diversified risk tools help protect farm income.
Grain movement stayed active, with barges showing the strongest weekly gain while rail and ocean signals remained mixed.
The Supreme Court’s ruling could affect pesticide warning claims well beyond Roundup. Richard Gupton with the Ag Retailers Association joins us to explain the importance of federal pesticide labeling standards and discuss the potential impact on the ag industry and supply chain.