Mixed Conditions Emerge as Eleventh District Agriculture Stabilizes

Strong yields and higher cattle prices helped stabilize conditions, but weak crop prices and rising carryover debt remain major challenges for Eleventh District farmers.

frozen funds usda money farm programs_Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock.jpg

Photo by ivandanru via Adobe Stock

Adobe Stock

DALLAS, Texas (RFD-TV) — Farm finances in the Eleventh Federal Reserve District showed a modest improvement in the third quarter of 2025, helped by widespread summer rains that lifted crop yields and supported pasture conditions. Despite stronger production, bankers reported that low commodity prices continue to pressure farm incomes, especially for row-crop operations entering harvest with several years of weak margins and growing carryover debt. Lenders noted that many farmers are having difficulty preparing 2026 budgets as input costs remain elevated and grain futures remain soft, increasing the likelihood of extended credit and a heavier reliance on government assistance.

Credit conditions reflected these stresses. Loan demand declined during the quarter, even as the availability of funds increased and repayment rates moved only slightly lower. Renewals and extensions continued to rise, suggesting that producers are working to bridge income shortfalls with operating credit. Loan volumes fell across most categories except operating loans. Land markets presented a mixed picture: dryland and ranchland values increased, irrigated land slipped, and cash rents rose for irrigated acres but fell for dryland and ranchland. Bankers also anticipated a downward trend in farmland values heading into winter.

Livestock producers remained a bright spot. Record-high cattle prices continued to bolster ranch incomes and improve repayment strength, creating a clear divide between crop-focused and livestock-focused borrowers as year-end approaches.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong yields and higher cattle prices helped stabilize conditions, but weak crop prices and rising carryover debt remain major challenges for Eleventh District farmers.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
The DOJ’s new antitrust probe could reshape beef-packer behavior, with potential impacts on fed-cattle prices, processor margins, and long-term competition across the supply chain.
Verified U.S. data show real leather’s carbon footprint is lower than advertised — an edge for the American cattle industry in both marketing and byproduct value.
Stagger buys and diversifies fertilizer sources — watch CBAM, India’s tenders, and Brazil’s import pace to time urea, phosphate, and potash purchases.
Tight cattle supplies keep prices high for ranchers, but policy shifts, export barriers, and packer losses signal a volatile road ahead for the beef supply chain.
Distillers dried grains (DDG) values follow corn and soybean meal trends, with ethanol grind and feed demand shaping costs into early 2026.
For tight margins, contract grazing leverages existing acres into new income streams and spreads risk. Here are some tips for row crop farmers looking to diversify.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Pork producers should prioritize health and productivity gains, hedge feed and hogs selectively, and watch Brazil’s export pace and China’s sow policy for price signals.
Global nitrogen and phosphate prices remain high despite improved supply fundamentals, with limited Chinese exports and stronger fall applications tightening availability.
Record output, larger stocks, and softer exports point to a well-supplied domestic ethanol market as harvest progresses.
The Court may limit emergency tariff powers, complicating a key bargaining tool; ag could see shifts in input costs and export dynamics as China, Brazil, and India talks evolve.
U.S. sugar producers and processors should brace for price pressure and challenging export logistics with global sugar supply ramping up — driven by Brazil, India, and Thailand — especially at the raw processing level.
The Farm Bureau urges trade enforcement, biofuel growth, fair input pricing, and pro-farmer policy reforms to restore long-term certainty.