National Crop Progress and Agribusiness Update - Monday, November 3, 2025

A rescheduled WASDE, China’s soybean squeeze, barge bottlenecks, and premium beef demand all collide this week — with cash decisions, basis, and risk plans on the line.

Crop Progress Graphic

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — This week, U.S. agriculture is navigating tighter logistics, shifting trade signals, and a harvest in full swing — all of which are shaping how producers are planning end-of-year operations and beyond. Steady equipment and fuel costs alongside renewed export interest suggest farmers should stay nimble in their forward strategies.

This Week’s Top Agriculture Headlines

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) pushed the November World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimate (WASDE) Report and Crop Production bundle to Friday, Nov. 14, at 11:00 a.m. ET, making that report the first full post-shutdown read on yields, exports, and feed/residual — a key pivot for basis and hedging into year-end.

In China, Dr. Fred Gale notes that crushers are bleeding red ink after paying up for Brazilian beans, signaling potential openings for U.S. soy if policy momentum and price parity hold.

Closer to home, the Mississippi River’s historic low water continues to thin tow sizes and spike freight, widening Gulf/PNW basis spreads and forcing farmers to juggle on-farm storage, delivery windows, and cash needs.

Meanwhile, consumer demand keeps rewarding quality: Certified Angus Beef capped another powerhouse year with 1.235 billion pounds sold and record Prime volume, sending a clear price signal for genetics and grade despite tight cattle supplies.

Ultimately, line up pre-WASDE positions, watch China purchase chatter versus barge logistics, and stay nimble on cash versus carry as premiums persist for quality cattle.

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Here is a regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture for the week of Monday, November 3, 2025:

Great Plains

  • Texas — Cotton harvest rolls across the High Plains and Rolling Plains; gins running full with regrowth and late fields complicating schedules. Sorghum and corn are nearly complete; wheat pastures are greening where showers fell. Feeder runs picking up; Panhandle yards monitoring hay stocks, diesel prices, and labor gaps.
  • Oklahoma — Cotton progress uneven by district; beans and corn finishing in the north. Winter wheat planting pushes ahead of hoped-for moisture; weaning and sale timing in focus.
  • Kansas — Sorghum and late corn wrapping up; wheat seeding advances with subsoil dictating stands. Sale barns are active; placements are steady as fall runs build.
  • Nebraska — Corn and soybean harvests accelerate; ethanol and feeders support interior bids. Irrigation shutdowns and propane use ramp up with cooler weather.
  • South Dakota & North Dakota — Soybean and corn pace strong; basis firm away from the river. Calf runs build; mixed pasture quality after late dryness.

Midwest

  • Iowa — Soybeans lead harvest; corn drying active. Crush and ethanol demand support basis, but propane and drying fuel costs pressure returns.
  • Illinois — Beans and corn progress between damp spells; interior basis firmer than river. Fertilizer quotes are sticky; labor shortages slow fieldwork.
  • Minnesota & Wisconsin — Corn drying and storage demand intensify; ethanol margins hold firm. Grazing days are shortening; feed costs are rising for livestock.
  • Michigan — Corn and soy harvest steady; processing plants competitive. Input prices, especially diesel and fertilizer, remain elevated.

Delta & South

  • Arkansas — Rice and soybean harvests are building momentum; barge freight is fluid on the lower Mississippi. Input costs, including phosphates, remain high.
  • Louisiana — Rice and soy moving smoothly; poultry and feed demand steady. Labor and transport costs continue to climb.
  • Mississippi — Grain harvest on schedule; barge logistics stable. Feed and fuel costs remain elevated.
  • Georgia & Alabama — Cotton defoliation and peanut digging are active under dry skies. Pasture conditions fair; input inflation persistent.
  • Florida — Trucking costs remain sticky, impacting specialty crop and feed shipments. Vegetable programs are being prepared for the holiday.

West & Southwest

  • Arizona & New Mexico — Rangelands showing modest improvement, yet feed and water management remain critical. Livestock operators focused on hay and input logistics.
  • Colorado & Utah — Winter wheat seeding started, but soil moisture is short. Diesel and fertilizer costs stretch budgets.
  • California — Specialty crop growers face labor and trade headwinds; nut and fruit quality under pressure. Diesel and parts costs top concerns across irrigated regions.
  • Nevada — Late-season hay moves continue; water availability shaping 2026 planning.

Northwest & Northern Rockies

  • Washington & Oregon — Apple and pear shipments strong; export container space adequate. Diesel and labor costs remain elevated.
  • Idaho — Feedlots booking corn amid high prices; rail logistics are reliable. Input inflation is persistent.
  • Montana — Hay stacks full; calf shipments moving. Winter wheat seeding is ongoing, but subsoil moisture is tight.
  • Wyoming — Harvest season ends; thin basis and steady costs define fall prep.

Northeast

  • New York & Pennsylvania — Corn silage mostly wrapped; grain harvest building. Dairy margins tight as fluid sales soften; feed costs high.
  • Maryland & Delaware — Soybean harvest expands; barge traffic adequate. Freight costs and diesel surcharges are heavier.
  • New Jersey — Vegetable and nursery work winding down; labor and diesel costs still notable.
  • New England (ME, VT, NH, MA, CT, RI) — Apple and fall veg sales drive cash flow; greenhouse prep for winter greens underway.

Upper Midwest & Great Lakes

  • Michigan — Dry beans, sugar beets, and soybeans share roads; harvest progresses. Dairy is under margin strain with soft retail demand.
  • Wisconsin — Harvest momentum continues; basis near feed mills steady. Fuel and fertilizer quotes firm.
  • Ohio — Corn and soy wrapping up; local basis stronger inland. River freight is modest under seasonal constraints.

Far North & Territories

  • Alaska — Feed and hay shipments are ramping up ahead of winter; shipping bottlenecks are costly. Energy and storage prep dominate planning.
  • U.S. Territories — Logistics delays and premium freight persist; small-scale grain and feed movements continue under higher rates.
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Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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