National Crop Progress and Agribusiness Update - Monday, October 20, 2025

Harvest Pace, Logistics, and Input Costs Drive Fall Decisions

Crop Progress Graphic

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Here is a regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture this week.

General Notes:

U.S. corn harvest was widely estimated near the mid-40 percent range as of last week; soybeans trailed but were accelerating — consistent with a typical late-October pace.

Lower Mississippi and adjacent waterways continue to see operational constraints (draft limits, tow size reductions), affecting barge velocity and basis near river terminals.

Great Plains

  • Texas — Cotton picking expands in the High Plains and Rolling Plains; sorghum and late corn wind down. Wheat pasture prospects improve where scattered moisture hit; cow-calf marketing steady.
  • Oklahoma — Cotton progress varies by district; winter wheat seeding pushes ahead of hoped-for moisture. Weaning timing and placements in focus with feeder demand steady.
  • Kansas — Late corn and sorghum finish; winter wheat seeding advances with subsoil moisture dictating stands. Cattle placements steady with fall runs.
  • Nebraska — Corn/soy harvest gathers speed; ethanol and feeders support interior bids. Backgrounders manage fall transitions and water availability.
  • South Dakota & North Dakota — Soy and corn harvest pick up; basis firmer away from river terminals. Calf runs increase; pasture quality variable after late-season dryness.

Midwest

  • Iowa — Soy leads harvest; corn follows as dryers fire up. Local crush and feeders compete while the river movement stays cautious.
  • Illinois — Beans and corn roll between damp spells; river basis soft on draft limits, interior bids firmer. Fall NH3 booking steady.
  • Indiana & Ohio — Combines hit more soy first; corn moisture easing. Wheat seeding follows bean harvest on fit soils; the processor vs. river basis bifurcates.
  • Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan — Soy/corn advance as temps allow; sugarbeets and dry beans (MI) active. Early freezes a watch item in northern tiers; dairy eyeing feed and energy.
  • Missouri — Soy/corn accelerate; river basis softer where tow restrictions bite. Cow-calf weaning decisions shaped by mixed hay quality.

Delta & South

  • Arkansas — Rice and soy expand with selective drying; cotton picking is accelerating. Some grain was rerouted to rail/interior users as river logistics stay tight.
  • Louisiana & Mississippi — Cane (LA) steps up; rice/beans move between showers; poultry steady. River tightness nudges more truck/rail.
  • Alabama, Georgia, Florida — Peanuts and cotton advance; vegetables stage for holiday programs with tight labor/logistics in FL. Poultry supports in-state feed use.
  • Kentucky & Tennessee — Tobacco curing wraps; soy/cotton harvest builds. River vs. interior bids diverge; cattle receipts rise with fall runs.
  • North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia — Peanuts/cotton progress; sweet potatoes lift (NC). Poultry/hogs steady; small-grain seeding follows on fit ground.

West & Southwest

  • Arizona & New Mexico — Desert veg ramps; dairies/feedlots monitor inputs as nights cool. Chile/pecan/hay work continues (NM).
  • Colorado, Utah, Nevada — Corn silage wraps; grain corn and beets advance (CO). Final alfalfa cuttings in UT/NV; winter water and feed planning front-and-center.
  • California — Sacramento Valley rice harvest advances; almonds/walnuts/pistachios move through hulling. Labor and freight remain primary constraints; coastal veg in shoulder-season windows.

Northwest & Northern Rockies

  • Washington & Oregon — Apples/pears in full swing; post-harvest wheat moving to export channels. Hay trade favors top dairy tests in eastern districts.
  • Idaho, Montana, Wyoming — Potatoes lift and storages fill (ID); beets advance. Winter wheat planting continues with variable moisture; calves ship with freight, the swing factor

Northeast

  • New York & Pennsylvania — Corn silage largely wrapped; grain harvest building. Dairy adjusts rations and bedding as nights cool; feed and energy costs in focus.
  • New England (ME, VT, NH, MA, CT, RI) — Apples and fall direct-market vegetables drive cash flow; greenhouses/tunnels prep for winter greens. Livestock owners line up hay and bedding.
  • New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland — Soy harvest expanding; small-grain seeding follows. Poultry integrators steady; litter and propane plans set for fall.

Upper Midwest & Great Lakes

  • Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin — Soy first, corn close behind; lake-effect showers the wild card. Basis steady-to-firm away from river constraints; sugarbeet campaigns active (MI/WI).

Far North & Territories

  • Alaska — Root crops and greenhouse produce wind down; storage quality and energy costs dominate winter prep.
  • Puerto Rico — Coffee harvest care and storm readiness in parallel; dairy margins hinge on feed and energy
Related Stories
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities shares an update on post-WASDE grain movement, with corn leading export momentum, soybeans steady, and wheat and sorghum continuing to move selectively.
Here is a regional snapshot of harvest pace, crop conditions, logistics, and livestock economics across U.S. agriculture for the week of Monday, November 17, 2025.
While agriculture doesn’t predict every recession, the sector’s long history of turning down before the broader economy
USDA’s steady yields and heavy global stocks keep grains range-bound unless demand firms or South American weather becomes a real threat.
USDA released the November WASDE Report on Friday, the first supply-and-demand estimate to drop since September, just before the 43-day government shutdown.
The government reopens after 43 days. USDA resumes key reports, weighs farm aid, and watches China’s next move on U.S. soybean purchases.
Friday’s release will be the first WASDE report in about two months, and early estimates indicate a corn surplus is still on the way.
If the House concurs and the President signs, USDA services and farm-bill programs resume at full speed with authorities extended for another year.
Today is Veterans Day, a day to honor all of the brave men and women who have served this great nation in times of war and in peace, those who are still with us, and those who gave the ultimate sacrifice.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Despite rising costs and growing food insecurity, meat demand remained strong in 2025 as higher-income consumers offset cutbacks elsewhere. Economists break down the K-shaped economy, upcoming USDA cattle reports, livestock production outlooks, and renewed debate over beef imports and country-of-origin labeling heading into 2026.
Corn growers are turning to ethanol, E15 expansion, and export markets to help absorb record supplies and stabilize prices. Farm leaders discuss low-carbon ethanol demand, flex-fuel vehicle challenges, input costs, and the role of USMCA as producers look for market relief in the year ahead.
From rising trade tensions in Europe to a pending Supreme Court decision on tariffs and shifting demand from China, global trade policy spearheaded by President Donald Trump continues to shape the outlook for U.S. agriculture—adding uncertainty as farmers navigate another volatile year.
The Surface Transportation Board rejects the proposed Norfolk Southern–Union Pacific merger, prompting concerns from agricultural shippers about rail consolidation, service reliability, and higher transportation costs.
Congressional leaders signal momentum toward expanded, targeted farm aid to help producers manage losses and cash-flow stress in 2026.
Midland County Livestock Association President Brandon Mitchell reflects on another strong year for the event, including a premium sale that once again topped the million-dollar mark.
Agriculture Shows
Farmweek is broadcast from Mississippi, one of the South’s most geographically diverse states. The Magnolia State’s most important resource is its people—and about a fourth of the state’s population hold jobs tied to agriculture.
“DocTalk” with host Dr. Dan Thomson will be teaming up with practitioners around the country to tackle issues with your livestock.
This high-yield corn contest showcases real-life Corn Warriors dealing with elements that every farmer knows well. Get an authentic look at what it takes to compete in a high-yield corn contest, and see who will take the title of Corn King.
As the trusted voice of the U.S. cattle and beef industry, the National Cattlemen Beef Association strives to share timely, relevant news. NCBA’s “Cattlemen to Cattlemen” is the leading TV show for beef producers to receive cattle industry news, education, and information.