Next month’s upcoming government reports could impact the markets

Recent trade action could really begin to show up.

The ag industry and the markets are eager to get new government reports next month, and it is when recent trade action could really begin to show up.

One economist says all the tariff talk could make moves in the May WASDE, especially around exports.

“We’ve been running much lower than year-ago levels. Obviously, the increased tariff rates on U.S. port shipments to China, as well as price competition for other major exporting countries. We’ve seen some headline news that Brazil, for example, has seen some real increases in their trade by volume over the last couple of months. And so, I think as you look at all those factors, USDA made that change to some of those fundamentals that they expect to play out here in 2025,” said Lee Schulz.

On Tuesday, USDA will release the official balance sheet for the year. Schulz says he will be closely watching state-level data around the hog and pork sectors.

Related Stories
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities shares an update on post-WASDE grain movement, with corn leading export momentum, soybeans steady, and wheat and sorghum continuing to move selectively.
Tariff relief may soften grocery prices, but it also intensifies competition for U.S. fruit, vegetable, and beef producers as cheaper imports regain market share.
USDA’s steady yields and heavy global stocks keep grains range-bound unless demand firms or South American weather becomes a real threat.
USDA released the November WASDE Report on Friday, the first supply-and-demand estimate to drop since September, just before the 43-day government shutdown.
U.S. Trade officials announced new deals with El Salvador, Guatemala, Ecuador, and Argentina, as well as a steep reduction in tariffs on Swiss imports.
The government reopens after 43 days. USDA resumes key reports, weighs farm aid, and watches China’s next move on U.S. soybean purchases.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Farm Bureau economist Danny Munch explains the importance of timely enrollment, and how the program helps dairy producers safeguard their operations against volatile milk markets.
National FFA Organization CEO Scott Stump shares the importance of Give FFA Day, how contributions support students, and why today is an opportunity for everyone to help invest in the future of agriculture.
USDA Farmer Bridge Assistance payments could begin this weekend as producers face tight margins, shifting acreage expectations, cattle herd contraction, and growing pressure for a stronger farm safety net.
Delays on year-round E15 keep potential corn demand and fuel savings in limbo.
Analysts warn the closed U.S.-Mexico border is straining cattle supplies and packing capacity. StoneX and USDA data point to long-term industry shifts.
Michael Kelsey of the Oklahoma Cattlemen’s Association joined us with the latest on the Oklahoma wildfires, recovery efforts for ranchers, and the role agriculture leaders are playing in supporting rural communities.