Producer payments could have “unintended consequences,” ag economists warn

Help will soon be on the way to farmers and ranchers who were impacted by natural disasters last year. Ag economists say the money is much needed, but warn there could be fallout.

“While this assistance is significant, it’s important to understand its broader implications. These payments will help offset losses and reduce financial stress, making loan renewals and financial planning easier for the 2025 crop year. However, there are potential unintended consequences as well. This aid could slow necessary cost adjustments in the agricultural sector. For example, negotiating lower cash rents with landowners may be more difficult, and pressures on farmers and input suppliers to reduce other costs might be reduced,” said Nick Paulson.

There is still no word on when that money will be distributed. It was a big topic at the confirmation hearing for Ag Secretary nominee Brooke Rollins. When asked about payments, she said it would be a day-one priority.

"[It] will be a fast and furious effort to ensure that we move that economic aid out. Aid to the farmers is a top priority; animal disease is a top priority; ensuring that we begin to move toward President Trump’s vision. I work for him, I am his cabinet member, but I also work alongside all of you.”

There is no word yet on when the full Senate will vote on Rollins’ confirmation. Industry leaders believe she will pass without any issue.

Related Stories
Low farmer shares reflect deep consolidation across the food chain, keeping producer returns thin even as retail food prices remain high.
Corn exports remain strong, while soybeans and wheat shift week to week on river conditions and global demand.
AFBF Vice President of Public Policy and Economic Analysis, Dr. John Newton, explains the factors contributing to the growing financial strain in the ag sector and the urgent need for swift economic support.
Farm legal expert Roger McEowen reviews the history of the Waters of the United States (WOTUS) rule and outlines how shifting definitions across multiple administrations have created regulatory confusion for landowners.
According to November’s Cattle on Feed Report, Nebraska now leads the nation in cattle feeding as tighter supplies continue to reshape regional market power and long-term price dynamics.
These “USDA Foods” are provided to USDA’s Food and Nutrition Service (FNS) nutrition assistance programs, including food banks that operate The Emergency Food Assistance Program (TEFAP), and are a vital component of the nation’s food safety net.

Agriculture Shows
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.