Rail Auctions and Fuel Costs Lift Logistics Risks

Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities discusses how tensions in the Middle East are impacting producer’s spring planting decisions.

MEMPHIS, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Higher rail auction premiums and surging fuel costs are raising transportation risks for grain shippers — tightening margins for producers tied to export-driven markets.

BNSF held its first auction for 2026/27 crop-year shuttle contracts on March 11, selling 35 shuttles for about $49 million. Winning bids ranged from $1.3 million to $1.5 million and averaged roughly $1.4 million, equal to about $424 per car per trip, assuming typical utilization. BNSF plans to offer 140 shuttles again this year, with another auction scheduled for March 18.

For producers, fuel costs remain a major concern. The U.S. diesel price jumped to $4.859 per gallon for the week ending March 9 — the largest weekly increase on record — driven by higher global crude prices and tightening supplies.

Across global shipping, bunker fuel prices surged sharply, pushing ocean freight rates higher. Grain shipping costs to Japan rose on both Gulf and Pacific Northwest routes, reflecting higher vessel operating costs and tightening supply chains.

Looking ahead, strong grain demand and steady rail volumes — up 5 percent year over year — suggest logistics costs will remain a key factor shaping marketing margins.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Rising logistics costs could pressure grain marketing margins.
Tony St. James, RFD News Market Specialist

Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report to discuss spring fieldwork as it advances across the country.

In his interview with RFD News, Williamson said mixed weather and input price trends are still top of mind for farmers as planting preparation ramp up.

“Corn planners are sitting on go,” Williamson said. “I look at the temperature this weekend and things are really going to warm up. I expect by this first of next week we will certainly see corn being put in the ground as far north as Memphis. It’s an exciting time for the producer.”

Williamson also noted that Urea prices continue to be a concern amid ongoing conflicts with Iran as well as oil stocks reaching a disappointing high.

Related Stories
Jake Charleston from Specialty Risk Insurance Agency recapped an Oklahoma auctioneer contest and recent industry events, showing how stakeholder feedback helps insurers gauge market conditions and risk management needs.
Pat Hord with the National Pork Producers Council joined us to recap producer meetings in Washington and discuss key policy priorities including Prop 12 and agricultural labor.
Steven Snow with the U.S. Small Business Administration joined us to discuss tax relief for rural Americans and the long-term benefits of new provisions impacting farmers and small businesses.
As budget hearings continue on Capitol Hill, policymakers focus on long-term solutions to stabilize the fertilizer market to support U.S. farmers.
Strong ethanol output supports corn demand despite export weakness.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

AFBF Economist Danny Munch joined us to discuss snowpack levels in the Colorado River Basin, water supply concerns, and the potential impact on agricultural production.
Congressman Gary Palmer of Alabama joined us to discuss federal overreach, transparency efforts, and legislative solutions impacting agriculture on this week’s Champions of Rural America.
Donald Chase of Chase Farms joined us to discuss drought conditions, planting progress, input costs, and the outlook for Georgia agriculture.
Tasting events in Ghana highlight potential for new export markets
Paul Neiffer outlines the requirements and when the change takes effect
Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins hints at new fertilizer plan while trade deals, soybean markets, and farm bill momentum drive ag policy discussion.