Rail Auctions and Fuel Costs Lift Logistics Risks

Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities discusses how tensions in the Middle East are impacting producer’s spring planting decisions.

MEMPHIS, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Higher rail auction premiums and surging fuel costs are raising transportation risks for grain shippers — tightening margins for producers tied to export-driven markets.

BNSF held its first auction for 2026/27 crop-year shuttle contracts on March 11, selling 35 shuttles for about $49 million. Winning bids ranged from $1.3 million to $1.5 million and averaged roughly $1.4 million, equal to about $424 per car per trip, assuming typical utilization. BNSF plans to offer 140 shuttles again this year, with another auction scheduled for March 18.

For producers, fuel costs remain a major concern. The U.S. diesel price jumped to $4.859 per gallon for the week ending March 9 — the largest weekly increase on record — driven by higher global crude prices and tightening supplies.

Across global shipping, bunker fuel prices surged sharply, pushing ocean freight rates higher. Grain shipping costs to Japan rose on both Gulf and Pacific Northwest routes, reflecting higher vessel operating costs and tightening supply chains.

Looking ahead, strong grain demand and steady rail volumes — up 5 percent year over year — suggest logistics costs will remain a key factor shaping marketing margins.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Rising logistics costs could pressure grain marketing margins.
Tony St. James, RFD News Market Specialist

Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report to discuss spring fieldwork as it advances across the country.

In his interview with RFD News, Williamson said mixed weather and input price trends are still top of mind for farmers as planting preparation ramp up.

“Corn planners are sitting on go,” Williamson said. “I look at the temperature this weekend and things are really going to warm up. I expect by this first of next week we will certainly see corn being put in the ground as far north as Memphis. It’s an exciting time for the producer.”

Williamson also noted that Urea prices continue to be a concern amid ongoing conflicts with Iran as well as oil stocks reaching a disappointing high.

Related Stories
Higher ocean freight rates can add export cost pressure even when grain demand remains active.
March pork gains lifted total meat production, but first-quarter output still ran below last year.
Austin Rice with Specialty Risk Insurance shares guidance on handling storm damage, navigating the insurance claims process, and managing risk during a volatile planting season.
Eric Weaver with UNL joins us to share about a promising new HPAI vaccine, early test results, next steps in development, and its potential impact on the livestock industry.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joins us to break down the latest USDA crop progress report, share insights from growers, and discuss how global factors are shaping planting decisions this season.
House lawmakers push toward a Farm Bill vote as debate grows over E15, Prop 12, and input costs, with farmers seeking certainty and policy updates.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Clean power growth remains strong, but slower deal-making could affect future rural energy and land-use opportunities.
Higher biofuel mandates boost long-term crop demand, but a tighter D4 market may pressure biofuel feedstocks and pose new soybean oil demand risks.
The Purdue student team joins us to discuss how they developed Soy-Seal, their innovative soybean-based adhesive tape, and its potential ag impact.
John Mays with Central Life Sciences joins us to discuss the importance of pest management ahead of wheat storage and how protecting grain quality can support stronger marketing opportunities.
University of Arkansas researchers are working to help farmers reduce grain waste and get more value out of their crops.
According to a tweet from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, the full House vote on the Farm Bill will be held until lawmakers return from recess.