Rail Auctions and Fuel Costs Lift Logistics Risks

Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities discusses how tensions in the Middle East are impacting producer’s spring planting decisions.

MEMPHIS, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Higher rail auction premiums and surging fuel costs are raising transportation risks for grain shippers — tightening margins for producers tied to export-driven markets.

BNSF held its first auction for 2026/27 crop-year shuttle contracts on March 11, selling 35 shuttles for about $49 million. Winning bids ranged from $1.3 million to $1.5 million and averaged roughly $1.4 million, equal to about $424 per car per trip, assuming typical utilization. BNSF plans to offer 140 shuttles again this year, with another auction scheduled for March 18.

For producers, fuel costs remain a major concern. The U.S. diesel price jumped to $4.859 per gallon for the week ending March 9 — the largest weekly increase on record — driven by higher global crude prices and tightening supplies.

Across global shipping, bunker fuel prices surged sharply, pushing ocean freight rates higher. Grain shipping costs to Japan rose on both Gulf and Pacific Northwest routes, reflecting higher vessel operating costs and tightening supply chains.

Looking ahead, strong grain demand and steady rail volumes — up 5 percent year over year — suggest logistics costs will remain a key factor shaping marketing margins.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Rising logistics costs could pressure grain marketing margins.
Tony St. James, RFD News Market Specialist

Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report to discuss spring fieldwork as it advances across the country.

In his interview with RFD News, Williamson said mixed weather and input price trends are still top of mind for farmers as planting preparation ramp up.

“Corn planners are sitting on go,” Williamson said. “I look at the temperature this weekend and things are really going to warm up. I expect by this first of next week we will certainly see corn being put in the ground as far north as Memphis. It’s an exciting time for the producer.”

Williamson also noted that Urea prices continue to be a concern amid ongoing conflicts with Iran as well as oil stocks reaching a disappointing high.

Related Stories
Grain movement stayed active, with barges showing the strongest weekly gain while rail and ocean signals remained mixed.
Farm Credit’s Christy Seyfert joined us to discuss the ag industry’s push for swift Farm Bill action as it heads toward a House vote.
Bridge payments are helping, but many producers still face losses and tight margins. AEM’s Curt Blades joins us to discuss how the current farm economy is pressuring equipment demand.
Feed demand and premiums drive growth for the crop
Purdue economist Dr. Joana Colussi discussed the U.S. and Brazil’s reliance on imported fertilizers and their impact on global food security amid rising input costs.
RFA President and CEO Geoff Cooper joined us to discuss the proposed E15 amendment in the Farm Bill, industry reaction to the legislation, and the outlook for year-round E15 sales.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Weekly export movement stayed solid, with corn and sorghum continuing to show the strongest overall pace.
Austin Rice with Specialty Risk Insurance shares guidance on handling storm damage, navigating the insurance claims process, and managing risk during a volatile planting season.
Eric Weaver with UNL joins us to share about a promising new HPAI vaccine, early test results, next steps in development, and its potential impact on the livestock industry.
California almond acreage tightens while pistachios shift into an off-year, shaping a mixed outlook for prices and supply in the tree nut market.
New treatments offer hope, but challenges remain for beekeepers.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joins us to break down the latest USDA crop progress report, share insights from growers, and discuss how global factors are shaping planting decisions this season.