RFD News Weekly Crop Progress, Livestock Production and Agribusiness Summary — Monday, January 12, 2026

Winter Weather, Drought Shape Early 2026 Farm Conditions

Crop Progress Graphic

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD News) — Cold temperatures, uneven moisture, and lingering drought concerns defined agricultural conditions across much of the country as producers entered January 2026. USDA Crop Progress State Stories show winter wheat, livestock, and forage conditions remain highly dependent on regional moisture patterns, while most row-crop fieldwork has slowed for the season.

Great Plains

  • Kansas - Winter wheat remains mostly fair to good, but persistent dryness continues to limit soil moisture recharge. Producers report increased concern about spring yield potential if precipitation does not improve.
  • Nebraska - Topsoil moisture remains short in many areas. Livestock producers continue supplemental feeding, while winter wheat is holding condition where snow cover has been adequate.
  • Oklahoma - Drought expanded in December, with widespread short- to very-short soil moisture. Wheat conditions deteriorated in dry areas, and forage growth remains limited.
  • Texas - Above-normal temperatures and spotty rainfall dominated. Winter wheat emergence has been uneven, rangeland conditions declined in dry regions, and hay feeding remains elevated.

Midwest

  • Iowa - Winter wheat is mostly in good condition with snow cover providing insulation. Livestock conditions remain stable, and producers are focused on 2026 input planning.
  • Illinois - Soil moisture is generally adequate. Wheat conditions are good, and grain movement continues where weather allows.
  • Indiana - Mild winter conditions have supported winter wheat establishment. Livestock operations report few weather-related issues.
  • Missouri - Wheat conditions range from fair to good. Dryness in southern areas has limited pasture recovery, increasing supplemental feeding.
  • Ohio - Cold weather slowed field activity, but winter wheat remains protected by snow cover. Livestock conditions are reported as good.

Delta & South

  • Arkansas - Dry conditions persist, limiting winter forage growth. Livestock producers continue feeding hay, and wheat emergence has been uneven.
  • Mississippi - Soil moisture remains short across much of the state. Winter wheat and cover crops are stressed, while livestock conditions remain stable.
  • Louisiana - Limited rainfall slowed pasture recovery. Sugarcane harvest wrapped up under mostly favorable conditions.
  • Alabama - Dry weather continues to pressure grazing. Winter forage growth remains below normal.
  • Georgia - Abnormally dry conditions expanded, reducing pasture productivity. Peanut and cotton harvests are complete.

West & Southwest

  • California - Late-December storms improved topsoil moisture and benefited winter crops and specialty agriculture. Snowpack remains mixed across the Sierra Nevada.
  • Arizona - Soil moisture remains very short. Forage conditions are poor, and livestock producers continue heavy supplemental feeding.
  • New Mexico - Drought conditions persist statewide. Winter wheat and pasture conditions remain stressed.
  • Nevada - Cold, dry weather limited field activity. Range conditions remain poor in drought-affected areas.

Northwest & Northern Rockies

  • Washington - Above-normal precipitation improved winter wheat prospects but caused localized flooding. Field access remains limited in wet areas.
  • Oregon - Mild, wet conditions supported crop growth but created challenges for livestock operations and field traffic.
  • Idaho - Snow cover has been inconsistent, leaving some winter wheat exposed. Livestock producers report normal winter management.
  • Montana - Limited snow cover in parts of the state has raised concerns about soil moisture protection. Supplemental feeding continues.

Northeast & Upper Midwest

  • Michigan - Cold temperatures and snow helped protect winter wheat. Livestock conditions remain stable.
  • Minnesota - Winter weather slowed grain movement. Snow cover is helping insulate soils and forage.
  • Pennsylvania: Adequate moisture and cold temperatures prevail. Fieldwork is largely paused.
  • New York - Snowfall improved soil insulation, though some areas remain abnormally dry.
Related Stories
USDA’s first 2026/27 outlook shows tighter supplies across several markets, led by wheat, corn, cotton, rice, beef, and sugar.
Industry leaders say labor shortages and visa caps are putting pressure on the future of domestic shrimping.
USDA says planting progress remains strong nationwide, though some soybean fields are still slow to emerge.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The farm bill is still moving, but the toughest amendment fights were pushed into today’s session. ASA President Scott Metzger joins us to discuss the risks of tariff actions on soybean exports, concerns over trade policy and production costs, and the importance of Farm Bill updates.
A more independent UAE could add long-term pressure and volatility to energy markets, affecting fuel and fertilizer costs.
Clean power growth remains strong, but slower deal-making could affect future rural energy and land-use opportunities.
Higher biofuel mandates boost long-term crop demand, but a tighter D4 market may pressure biofuel feedstocks and pose new soybean oil demand risks.
ASFMRA’s Luke Worrell joined us to discuss farmland market trends, insights from the Illinois Land Values Conference, changing buyer and seller demographics, and the latest outlook on planting progress.
EPA’s approval gives citrus growers a new disease-fighting tool against greening at a time when production losses remain severe.