Soybean Crush Growth Reshapes Acres, Prices and Exports

Growing biofuel demand is driving more soybeans toward domestic crush.

COLUMBIA, Mo. (RFD-TV) — Expanding domestic soybean crush is becoming a larger driver of U.S. soybean acreage and prices as biofuel demand reshapes how the crop is used, according to FAPRI’s September baseline update.

Soybean acreage rises 5.4 million acres in 2026/27 to 86.8 million acres and remains above 87 million acres through much of the projection period. FAPRI projects the farm price at $11.66 per bushel this marketing year.

Domestic crush is forecast at 2.78 billion bushels in 2026/27, up from 2.66 billion the previous year, and approaches 3 billion bushels later in the outlook.

Soybean oil use for biofuel also expands sharply, reaching about 17.8 billion pounds in 2026/27. At the same time, soybean oil exports fall to 400 million pounds as more supplies are absorbed domestically.

FAPRI expects acreage to remain supported by crush demand, renewable fuel policy and a favorable soybean-to-corn price relationship.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Growing domestic crush and biofuel demand are giving soybean producers a stronger home-market demand base.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The funding could expand domestic fuel supplies, though lower diesel prices are not guaranteed.
EPA estimates the proposed changes could save $45 billion in regulatory compliance costs.
Even a wet winter may not be enough to restore water supplies across drought-stricken western states.
Some smaller feedlots are already empty as operators struggle with limited cattle availability.
Higher fertilizer and financing costs are putting pressure on Brazilian producers.
Federal payments are keeping farm income elevated despite weaker earnings from agricultural markets.
The department has not released new details on how individual agencies or offices will be affected.
Delaying equipment purchases may offer little relief as repair and financing expenses continue rising.
Tight cattle supplies could leave some winter wheat fields harvested for grain rather than grazed.
The company is working to fill reporting gaps that leave many private hay transactions untracked.
The order aims to expand domestic fuel production, though its impact on diesel prices remains uncertain.
Financial pressure on elevators could affect grain movement and payment timing for producers.
Agriculture Shows
Agriculture is the most important industry in the world, and Ag PhD Daily brings you the information you need to best manage your business only on RFD-TV and RFDTV+
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady, Commodity Talk on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 143 delivers expert insight into today’s agricultural commodity markets just before the CME opens.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.