The Congressional Budget Office says tariffs will save about $2.5 trillion, but there’s a catch

The Congressional Budget Office is out with new estimates around the President’s tariff plan.

They now say tariffs will reduce the deficit by more than $2 trillion, but the new report comes with a catch. The Office says those savings will be negated by the cost of the President’s “Big, Beautiful Bill,” which is currently in the hands of the Senate. CBO estimates now show that tariffs will save the U.S. around $2.5 trillion over the next decade, along with shrinking the size of the U.S. economy.

The overall tariff rate right now on most countries stand between 10 and 15 percent.

Related Stories
Expanded access could boost demand for U.S. exports.
NMPF’s Alan Bjerga discusses pending trade agreements with Indonesia and Ecuador and how they will benefit U.S. dairy producers and improve overall global competitiveness of U.S. ag products.
Debt pressures could reshape farm policy and credit.
India trade tensions may affect the U.S. export outlook.
Tariff revenues rarely flow directly back to farmers.
Weak crop margins and tariff uncertainty are delaying machinery purchases and signaling slower capital investment across U.S. agriculture.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Smaller slaughter numbers across beef and pork signal tighter supplies into late 2025, while record-low veal production highlights ongoing structural changes in the sector.
UC Davis Professor and Extension Specialist Dr. Frank Mitloehner joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report to preview the festivities and share why this event has become such a special tradition for the ag community.
Beal joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report to discuss her election to NASDA’s presidency, challenges facing American agriculture, and her background as a Mainer and dairy farmer.
RFD-TV Farm Legal and Taxation expert Roger McEowen joined us Friday to break down the executive order and what it means for farmers and ranchers.
Chad Rezniek with the Colorado AgrAbility Project joined us as part of National Farm Safety and Health Week to discuss the growing need for behavioral health support in rural communities.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report to break down what this extension means for affected ranchers.