Tree Nut Outlook Mixed as Tightening Almond Supply Supports Prices, While Pistachios Hold Steady

California almond acreage tightens while pistachios shift into an off-year, shaping a mixed outlook for prices and supply in the tree nut market.

SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY, CALIFORNIA (RFD News) — Two different trends are shaping California’s tree nut industry. Almond acreage is tightening after several years of pressure, while pistachios are moving from a strong production year into a lighter crop cycle.

Producer William Bourdeau says those shifts could begin to show up in the marketplace, explaining that tightening supply could help bring almond prices closer to balance as demand strengthens.

“You know, I’m optimistic that almond prices will improve, and there’s a lot of acres that came out of production. There are a lot of acres that were deficit-irrigated. They’re a sensitive crop, and so I do think supply and demand equilibrium will start sorting itself out. And as demand increases and supply goes down, the price should improve. And so I’m optimistic.”

On the other hand, pistachio prices are holding steady, despite a shifting outlook for the upcoming harvest.

“Pistachios, we still have a decent price,” Bourdeau said. “I think this is an off year. So we had a really big crop last year. It’s going to be a more modest crop this year. So I think prices will remain close to the same as last year. And so I’m very optimistic that pistachios, if we don’t have some strange weather events or something that adversely impacts the yield, I feel really good about pistachios in the near term.”

He adds that, barring weather disruptions, pistachios are expected to remain steady in the months ahead.

Related Stories
Tight supply and logistics issues may raise input costs.
Export funding aims to strengthen global demand for U.S. commodities.
Strong ethanol exports support long-term growth in corn demand.
Transporting pollinator colonies—primarily honey bee hives—is a major logistical operation in U.S. agriculture. Costs can vary widely depending on distance, fuel prices, labor, and timing.
Workshops give international bakers hands-on training with U.S. wheat products
As budget hearings continue on Capitol Hill, policymakers focus on long-term solutions to stabilize the fertilizer market to support U.S. farmers.

Knoxville native Neal Burnette-Irwin is a graduate from MTSU where he majored in Journalism and Entertainment Studies. He works as a digital content producer with RFD News and is represented by multiple talent agencies in Nashville and Chicago.


LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

ASFMRA’s Dennis Reyman joined us to discuss planting progress, crop trends, grain movement, and farmland market activity in Iowa.
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney joins us to discuss Canada’s advisory committee and the upcoming USMCA review and its potential impact on agriculture.
Partnership helps power homes while supporting a fifth-generation farm
Silver fox rabbits, Belgian horses among those making a comeback
The massive Morill wildfire left Nebraska ranchers facing major losses, as relief funds and federal aid step in to support recovery efforts.
Agriculture Shows
This high-yield corn contest showcases real-life Corn Warriors dealing with elements that every farmer knows well. Get an authentic look at what it takes to compete in a high-yield corn contest, and see who will take the title of Corn King.
As the trusted voice of the U.S. cattle and beef industry, the National Cattlemen Beef Association strives to share timely, relevant news. NCBA’s “Cattlemen to Cattlemen” is the leading TV show for beef producers to receive cattle industry news, education, and information.
America’s Heartland brings positive, heartfelt stories about American agriculture to viewers in both urban and rural areas.
Hosted by Pam Minick, “The American Rancher” focuses on the people and places that make ranching an American lifestyle. This half-hour magazine format series features livestock producers and their ranches, animals, and ranching practices.