USDA 2025 Small Grains Report Shows Mixed Outcomes

USDA’s report shows wheat strength overall, with winter wheat yields setting records, while spring wheat and rye saw declines. Oats and barley remain constrained by record-low acreage despite stable or rising yields.

grain 1280x720.jpg

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) 2025 Small Grains Annual Summary (PDF Version) shows mixed results across oats, barley, rye, and wheat, with acreage shifts and record yields shaping the year’s harvest.

Oats

Production reached 69.6 million bushels, a 2 percent increase from 2024, driven by larger harvested acreage despite lower yields. At 944,000 acres harvested, the area was up 6 percent, though still among the lowest on record. Record high yields were reported in Illinois, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, while planted acres hit record lows in Idaho, Maine, New York, and Oregon.

Barley

Production fell 2 percent to 141 million bushels, even as yields reached a record 80 bushels per acre. Nationally seeded area fell to 2.3 million acres, the lowest on record. Harvested acres were down 7 percent year over year, with conditions rated sharply lower in early August compared to 2024.

Rye

Production fell 15 percent to 12.5 million bushels, with both harvested acres and yields slipping from last year’s record levels. Pennsylvania planted a record high acreage, while North Carolina hit record lows.

Winter Wheat

Production totaled 1.40 billion bushels, up 3 percent from last year, with record yields reported in several states, including Georgia, Illinois, Michigan, Missouri, South Carolina, and Texas. Harvested area was 25.5 million acres, down 3 percent, while Hard Red Winter wheat reached 804 million bushels, up 4 percent, and Soft Red Winter wheat hit 353 million bushels, up 2 percent. White winter wheat was estimated at 244 million bushels, up 3 percent.

Spring Wheat

Output dropped 9 percent to 497 million bushels, reflecting an 8 percent decline in harvested acres. Yields, however, were still historically strong at 51.7 bushels per acre. Hard Red Spring accounted for 458 million bushels, down 9 percent from 2024.

Durum Wheat

Production rose 8 percent to 86.2 million bushels on higher acreage and improved yields. Montana’s output jumped 29 percent, while North Dakota, the top producer, posted a 3 percent gain.

Farm-Level Takeaway: USDA’s report shows wheat strength overall, with winter wheat yields setting records, while spring wheat and rye saw declines. Oats and barley remain constrained by record-low acreage despite stable or rising yields.
Related Stories
The closure of Lubbock Feeders highlights mounting pressure on the U.S. cattle supply, according to the Texas Cattle Feeders Association, as border restrictions and costs strain feedyards.
Food demand is stable but price-sensitive across rural markets. For agriculture and rural communities, the important signal is not optimism — it is stability.
Stable blending demand continues to underpin corn use despite export volatility.
At Commodity Classic in San Antonio, growers explore new herbicide options, John Deere’s latest 8 Series tractors, and cutting-edge ag technology shaping the 2026 planting season. Here are some of RFD NEWS’ highlights from the event so far.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided insight on updated PLC rate estimates, the role of base acres, and the upcoming enrollment window for ARC and PLC programs.
USDA Farmer Bridge Assistance payments could begin this weekend as producers face tight margins, shifting acreage expectations, cattle herd contraction, and growing pressure for a stronger farm safety net.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Geopolitical risk is rapidly increasing fertilizer price volatility before planting.
China may no longer serve as a consistent anchor market for U.S. cotton exports. Lewis Williamson of HTS Commodities joined us to discuss the factors influencing planting decisions, river conditions, and what producers are considering as they finalize acreage plans for the season.
Falling commodity prices and rising costs continue to squeeze farm margins. Kip Jacobs with The Mosaic Company addresses fertilizer market pressures, nutrient use efficiency, and strategies growers can consider to protect their fertilizer investment this season.
Weather Swings Shape Early Season Farm Conditions Nationwide
Dry conditions may tighten hay supplies before summer growth. John Mays of Central Life Sciences joined us to discuss the risks of extended grain storage, how quality can be affected over time, and what growers can do to protect their grain while waiting for market opportunities.
Crop value concentration keeps farm income tied closely to commodity price cycles.