USDA Projects Rice Harvested Acreage at 53-Year Low

Lower production is tightening domestic supplies and pushing rice prices higher.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD-TV) — USDA projects U.S. rice harvested acreage at 2.057 million acres for 2026/27, the lowest level since 1972/73, as southern producers sharply reduce long-grain acreage.

The Economic Research Service says all-rice production is forecast at 157.7 million hundredweight, the lowest since 1993/94. USDA lowered the crop by 400,000 hundredweight from September after reducing the national yield estimate to 7,668 pounds per acre.

Long-grain production is projected at its lowest level since 1987/88. Arkansas harvested long-grain acreage is forecast at 775,000 acres, the smallest since 1977/78, while Mississippi, Missouri, Texas and Louisiana also have historically low acreage.

Tighter supplies are supporting prices. USDA raised the all-rice season-average farm price 30 cents to $15.20 per hundredweight, 23% above last year. Long-grain rice increased 50 cents to $14.00.

USDA expects record rice imports of 49.8 million hundredweight as lower domestic production reduces available supplies. Ending stocks are forecast at 40 million hundredweight, down 32% from last year.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Historically low harvested acreage is tightening U.S. rice supplies and supporting stronger farm prices.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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