WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — USDA expects food prices to rise again in 2026, with restaurant prices outpacing grocery costs. The outlook points to continued pressure on consumers even though inflation remains well below the spikes seen earlier this decade.
The Economic Research Service forecasts overall food prices to be up 2.9 percent this year. Food-at-home prices are projected to rise 2.4 percent, while food-away-from-home prices are expected to rise 3.6 percent.
Beef remains a key driver. Beef and veal prices were 12.1 percent above a year ago in March, and USDA forecasts a 6.3 percent increase for 2026 as cattle supplies stay tight and demand stays firm.
Egg prices moved in the other direction. They fell 3.3 percent from February and were 44.7 percent below a year earlier in March. USDA expects egg prices to drop 29.4 percent in 2026 as production improves.
USDA also expects stronger gains for fresh vegetables, sugar and sweets, and nonalcoholic beverages. Pork, poultry, and fresh fruit should see milder increases, while dairy prices are expected to decline.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Food inflation is still building in 2026, with beef leading pressure while eggs and dairy offer some relief.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
David Gruchot with USDA APHIS joined us to discuss the growing threat of invasive pests and the steps individuals can take to help protect U.S. agriculture.
April 16, 2026 11:32 AM
·
Input costs may stay elevated beyond tariff impacts.
April 16, 2026 10:47 AM
·
CoBank Lead Energy Economist Teri Viswanath discusses their analysis of rising energy costs, rural impacts, and the outlook for fuel prices amid ongoing global uncertainty.
April 15, 2026 03:33 PM
·
Price volatility is driving shifts in demand and supply innovation.
April 11, 2026 08:00 AM
·
Rising diesel and energy costs are squeezing farmers and rural communities, increasing production expenses and raising concerns about consumer demand for beef even as U.S. meat exports regain the Australian market.
April 10, 2026 01:23 PM
·
Local groups distribute potatoes to support hundreds of families across the Idaho Panhandle to celebrate Volunteer Appreciation Month.
April 07, 2026 02:14 PM
·
