WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — USDA expects food prices to rise again in 2026, with restaurant prices outpacing grocery costs. The outlook points to continued pressure on consumers even though inflation remains well below the spikes seen earlier this decade.
The Economic Research Service forecasts overall food prices to be up 2.9 percent this year. Food-at-home prices are projected to rise 2.4 percent, while food-away-from-home prices are expected to rise 3.6 percent.
Beef remains a key driver. Beef and veal prices were 12.1 percent above a year ago in March, and USDA forecasts a 6.3 percent increase for 2026 as cattle supplies stay tight and demand stays firm.
Egg prices moved in the other direction. They fell 3.3 percent from February and were 44.7 percent below a year earlier in March. USDA expects egg prices to drop 29.4 percent in 2026 as production improves.
USDA also expects stronger gains for fresh vegetables, sugar and sweets, and nonalcoholic beverages. Pork, poultry, and fresh fruit should see milder increases, while dairy prices are expected to decline.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Food inflation is still building in 2026, with beef leading pressure while eggs and dairy offer some relief.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
The non-profit organization is helping feed communities while creating pathways for at-risk youth.
April 30, 2026 01:43 PM
·
A more independent UAE could add long-term pressure and volatility to energy markets, affecting fuel and fertilizer costs.
April 30, 2026 09:00 AM
·
Purdue economist Dr. Joana Colussi discussed the U.S. and Brazil’s reliance on imported fertilizers and their impact on global food security amid rising input costs.
April 24, 2026 01:28 PM
·
AFBF Economist Danny Munch joined us to discuss snowpack levels in the Colorado River Basin, water supply concerns, and the potential impact on agricultural production.
April 23, 2026 04:22 PM
·
Fuel costs are shaping food and demand patterns.
April 23, 2026 10:00 AM
·
A prolonged Iran ceasefire offers limited relief as fertilizer concerns persist, prompting U.S. policy shifts and driving farmers to reconsider crop acreage.
April 22, 2026 10:55 AM
·
