WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD-TV) — The World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate (WASDE) from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) for December (PDF Version) delivered mostly steady U.S. projections for wheat, corn, soybeans, and cotton while global shifts continue to influence market direction. Wheat saw no domestic supply-or-use changes, though world production climbed on large crops in Canada, Argentina, the European Union, Australia, and Russia — pushing global ending stocks higher.
Corn saw the largest domestic adjustment: exports increased by 125 million bushels after a strong fall in shipping pace, tightening ending stocks to 2.0 billion bushels. Globally, Ukraine’s crop fell sharply due to wet harvest conditions, even as the EU and Russia posted modest increases.
Soybean supply, use, and farm-price projections were unchanged for the U.S., but world output rose slightly on higher production in Russia and India. Global soybean crush expanded, while exports slipped and ending stocks edged higher on larger inventories in Brazil and Russia.
Cotton estimates reflected higher U.S. production, lower mill use, and larger ending stocks, with world production and consumption both easing modestly.
USDA’s report shows wheat strength overall, with winter wheat yields setting records, while spring wheat and rye saw declines. Oats and barley remain constrained by record-low acreage despite stable or rising yields.
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Farmers face tighter barge capacity and higher freight costs during peak harvest.
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Bigger-than-expected corn and wheat stocks are bearish for prices, while soybean figures were neutral. Farmers may face additional price pressure as harvest accelerates.
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“MAKE SOYBEANS, AND OTHER ROW CROPS, GREAT AGAIN!”
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Taiwan’s pledge to expand imports strengthens export prospects for U.S. row crops, livestock products, and specialty commodities, while the USDA’s broader trade push seeks to diversify farm markets globally.
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“American soybean farmers—who are already reeling from your sweeping tariffs—deserve better.”
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Farmers will need to closely monitor forecasts if the regulatory changes are implemented, as temperature cutoffs will replace fixed spray dates.
September 30, 2025 04:39 PM
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With China’s pullback, U.S. sorghum producers must broaden their export markets. Building connections now could help stabilize prices and demand for the upcoming larger crop.
September 30, 2025 04:23 PM
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Higher domestic rail tariffs and mixed capacity shifts will influence grain movement this harvest. Strong corn exports provide momentum, but logistics costs remain a critical factor.
September 30, 2025 04:12 PM
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