A tightening cheese supply is sending prices higher globally.
This month cheddar block prices reached $2.27 per pound. Cobank says that is the highest price in 27 months.
Class III Milk futures are also on the rise, with the bundle average reaching $22.90 in the week following Labor Day. While higher prices moving into the fall is great, traders do not believe they will hang around for long.
CME has the four-month average for January to April 2025 Class III features at just $19.80.
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Market analyst and friend of the show, Shawn Hackett, says Brazil’s shifting use of crops for biofuel production is a significant factor.
“It does not extinguish right away here — in any sort of sense — the real profitability concerns and people’s ability to pay bills and get to the other side of this in the very short term. This is where the skepticism builds.”
Rich Nelson, a commodity broker for Allendale Inc., joins us to break down what the U.S.-China trade agreement means for the ag economy.
Global agriculture is stabilizing after years of price swings, with flat to modestly rising returns expected as productivity offsets slower demand growth.
Prepare for softer milk checks into winter, watch cull-cow values and timing, and stress-test cash flow as product prices recalibrate.
Expect incremental near-term lift for feed grains, proteins, and ethanol as tariff cuts and smoother approvals translate into real orders.