AFBF: USDA Slashes 2025 Farm Income Outlook, Sets Baseline for ‘Significant Pressure’ into 2026

Danny Munch of the American Farm Bureau joined us to discuss USDA’s latest farm income forecast, revisions to prior estimates, and what the updated data means for farmers heading into 2026.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released its first Net Farm Income Forecast since September, providing an early look at the financial conditions facing farmers in 2026. The report also includes revisions to USDA’s previous estimates for 2025, reshaping how last year’s farm economy is viewed and establishing a new baseline for the year ahead.

American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) economist Danny Munch joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report to break down the latest forecast and what it signals for the broader farm economy.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Munch explained that the new outlook offers insight into how producers may fare financially in 2026, as income pressures continue across much of the agricultural sector.

The updated report also revises figures released last fall, and Munch highlighted how the new numbers differ from the September forecast. Those changes reflect shifts in commodity prices, production costs, and government payments that altered the final picture of farm income in 2025.

Munch addressed how rising farm debt and ongoing income declines are affecting farmers, and how producers are adjusting their operations and financial strategies to manage continued economic pressure.

Related Stories
Large animal vets say the parasite is now showing up in regions where it historically has not been common.
For more than 70 years, The Pancake Shop has served sausage supplied by the Hawthorn family’s meat operation.
National Pork Board’s Andy Tauer discusses the growing popularity of the Boston Butt Pork Burger and key topics at the USMEF Spring Conference.
Ashley Stockwell discusses representing dairy farmers during one of motorsports’ most recognizable traditions.
NRCS leadership affects how conservation dollars, technical assistance and working-lands priorities reach farmers and ranchers.
At the center of the announcement is the Blue Point Project in Louisiana, a $3.7 billion ammonia facility, USDA says, that will become the world’s largest ammonia plant once completed.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Experts predict consumers will pay nearly double the price per pound for certain types of turkey than the average cost just five years ago.
The Stoney Ridge Farmer saws live-edge Wild Cherry lumber on the mill on his latest vlog.
Like a greatest hits album, “TCR Classics: Bob’s Picks” is filled with some of TCR host Bob Phillips’ most cherished memories reporting on The Lone Star State with his wife, Kelli, for nearly three decades. Plus, the 16-episode series is available to stream for FREE on RFD-TV Now!
Hollywood celebrities may attend movie premieres and other red carpet events filled with big city lights. Still, a few grew up on several acres surrounded by animals and rolling fields. Here are eight notable figures in film and television who grew up on a farm.