Ag Economy Barometer: Farmer Sentiment Ticks Up in February, But Long-Term Confidence Remains Uncertain

Purdue University’s Dr. Michael Langemeier discusses the survey’s findings in February and broader signals in the months ahead.

2026BrandGuidep44-TractorAndHayRakeInField_emiel-molenaar-j8DsBudk96c-unsplash_1920x1080.jpg

WEST LAFAYETTE, IND. (RFD NEWS) — Farmer sentiment is showing a modest rebound, according to the latest Ag Economy Barometer, though concerns about the long-term outlook remain. Dr. Michael Langemeier, senior author of the report and professor at Purdue University, joined us on Tuesday’s Market Day Report to break down the latest findings.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Langemeier said the slight improvement in the barometer was driven by short-term factors, including market stabilization and policy-related developments. While the rebound was welcome, he noted that confidence in the longer-term agricultural outlook continues to soften as producers face margin pressure and ongoing uncertainty.

The February survey also revisited questions about farm growth plans, a component included annually since 2016. Langemeier said responses suggest many farmers remain cautious about expansion, reflecting tighter profitability expectations and elevated input costs.

This month’s survey included a question about the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program, with respondents indicating they plan to use payments primarily to strengthen working capital, manage debt, or stabilize cash flow amid continued financial pressure.

Producers were again asked whether they believe the U.S. is headed in the “right direction” or on the “wrong track.” Langemeier said opinions remain mixed, with little change from previous readings, underscoring ongoing uncertainty in the broader economic environment.

Overall, Langemeier characterized the latest results as cautiously optimistic in the short term, but he emphasized that long-term confidence will likely depend on improvements in profitability, policy clarity, and global market stability.

Fred Seamon, executive director of agricultural research at CME, also joined us on Wednesday’s Market Day Report to further break down the report.

In his conversation, Seamon discussed the factors behind the slight increase in sentiment and highlighted what farmers are saying about their growth plans for 2026.

He also addressed responses related to the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program and how producers plan to use those payments. He reviewed expectations for agricultural exports and shared insights on how farmers perceive the direction of the U.S. economy, noting a decline in optimism compared with previous surveys.

Related Stories
Investigations are now ongoing following a massive explosion and fire at the Koch Foods poultry plant in Fairfield, Ohio, which claimed one life and injured at least three other workers at the plant.
Farmer Ed Bell shares how AGRAbility helped him return to his family’s strawberry farm and inspire resilience, legacy, and hope in rural life.
Weskan Grain CEO Will Bramblett discusses the antitrust lawsuit filed by grain farmers and agribusinesses, and its potential implications on rail competition and market access.
Jim Rothermich with the American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers joined us to share the latest on farmland real estate markets across the Midwest.
Roger McEowen with the Washburn School of Law reviews key highlights from the House Agriculture Committee’s latest farm bill proposal.
The Action Aims to Lower Food Costs for Consumers and Strengthen the Supply Chain

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

American Soybean Association President Caleb Ragland shares the soybean sector outlook following the announcement of farm aid to offset losses for U.S. row crop growers.
Sen. Deb Fischer, of Nebraska, mentioned that Congress pushing through year-round E15 sales will do more to help commodity growers than more farm aid, which is currently a reality.
Sen. Moran joins us to discuss the farm aid package and the financial reality faced by row crop farmers in his home state of Kansas.
Tariff relief and new trade agreements may temper food costs by reducing import costs.
Lawmakers and experts react to the Administration’s long-awaited announcement of “bridge” aid to stabilize farms and offset 2025 losses until expanded safety-net programs begin in 2026.
Joe Peiffer with Ag & Business Legal Strategies advises farmers on end-of-year financial planning, including preparing records, avoiding common credit mistakes, and evaluating equipment purchases for 2026.