Ag Equipment Sales Slide as 2025 Closes Weak

Soft equipment sales signal cautious farm spending as producers prioritize cash flow over expansion.

MILWAUKEE, Wisc. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farm machinery sales weakened further at the end of 2025, underscoring ongoing caution among producers as margins remain tight and replacement cycles are extended. New data from the Association of Equipment Manufacturers (AEM) show December tractor and combine sales declined year over year, reflecting restrained capital spending across much of the farm economy.

U.S. sales of agricultural tractors fell 14.8 percent in December compared with the same month in 2024, while combine sales declined 4.3 percent. The pullback was broad-based across horsepower categories. Sales of tractors under 40 horsepower dropped nearly 19 percent, mid-range tractors declined almost 5 percent, and units above 100 horsepower fell more than 18 percent. Four-wheel-drive tractor sales posted the steepest decline, down 31 percent from a year earlier.

Canadian markets showed a mixed picture. Tractor sales fell 13.7 percent year over year, mirroring weakness in the U.S. However, Canadian combine sales surged 26.1 percent, suggesting regional differences in replacement needs and harvest conditions.

Full-year figures point to a slower equipment cycle. U.S. tractor sales for 2025 finished nearly 10 percent below 2024 levels, while combine sales fell more than 35 percent year to date. Elevated equipment prices, higher interest rates, and softer commodity margins continue to weigh on purchasing decisions.

AEM notes the data reflect preliminary retail sales reported by member companies and serve as a barometer of producer confidence heading into 2026.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Soft equipment sales signal cautious farm spending as producers prioritize cash flow over expansion.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Lawmakers and experts react to the Administration’s long-awaited announcement of “bridge” aid to stabilize farms and offset 2025 losses until expanded safety-net programs begin in 2026.
Joe Peiffer with Ag & Business Legal Strategies advises farmers on end-of-year financial planning, including preparing records, avoiding common credit mistakes, and evaluating equipment purchases for 2026.
Lewie Pugh with the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) discusses the gap in truck driver education programs and how it impacts road safety and supply chain economics.
Cattle imports from Mexico remain stalled amid the New World screwworm outbreak. At the same time, Tyson closures add pressure on Nebraska producers and markets ahead of the USDA’s upcoming Cattle on Feed Report.
USTR Jamieson Greer signals a narrower trade deal with China, adding more market uncertainty. The Farm Bureau also supports reviewing China’s missed trade commitments under the Phase One.
Southern producers head into 2026 with thin margins, tighter credit, and rising agronomic risks despite scattered yield improvements.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Farmers should anticipate continued upward pressure on farm labor costs and monitor policy changes that may further impact hiring decisions.
Cotton farmers should weigh potential PLC payments against STAX coverage and act before the September 30 deadline.
U.S. produce growers face a structural disadvantage—cheaper imports driving down prices while rising labor costs squeeze margins. Without new policies or technology, profitability remains uncertain.
Herd rebuilding looks slow, keeping cattle prices supported; beef-on-dairy crosses help fill feedlots, while imports temper—but don’t erase—tightness.
Farmers should watch for soybean export rebounds with harvest, while corn and wheat shipments remain strong and sorghum demand struggles.
Farmers may benefit from higher turkey prices this holiday season, but risks from HPAI and limited poult placements could further strain the supply.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.