Ag Equipment Sales Slide as 2025 Closes Weak

Soft equipment sales signal cautious farm spending as producers prioritize cash flow over expansion.

MILWAUKEE, Wisc. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farm machinery sales weakened further at the end of 2025, underscoring ongoing caution among producers as margins remain tight and replacement cycles are extended. New data from the Association of Equipment Manufacturers (AEM) show December tractor and combine sales declined year over year, reflecting restrained capital spending across much of the farm economy.

U.S. sales of agricultural tractors fell 14.8 percent in December compared with the same month in 2024, while combine sales declined 4.3 percent. The pullback was broad-based across horsepower categories. Sales of tractors under 40 horsepower dropped nearly 19 percent, mid-range tractors declined almost 5 percent, and units above 100 horsepower fell more than 18 percent. Four-wheel-drive tractor sales posted the steepest decline, down 31 percent from a year earlier.

Canadian markets showed a mixed picture. Tractor sales fell 13.7 percent year over year, mirroring weakness in the U.S. However, Canadian combine sales surged 26.1 percent, suggesting regional differences in replacement needs and harvest conditions.

Full-year figures point to a slower equipment cycle. U.S. tractor sales for 2025 finished nearly 10 percent below 2024 levels, while combine sales fell more than 35 percent year to date. Elevated equipment prices, higher interest rates, and softer commodity margins continue to weigh on purchasing decisions.

AEM notes the data reflect preliminary retail sales reported by member companies and serve as a barometer of producer confidence heading into 2026.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Soft equipment sales signal cautious farm spending as producers prioritize cash flow over expansion.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Tight feeder supplies and lower placements indicate continued support for the cattle market, with regional impacts heightened in Texas by reduced feeder imports.
National Land Realty’s Jeramy Stephens shares his outlook on farmland market trends, which remain under close watch as new federal assistance programs roll out — with experts analyzing potential impacts on land values, buying, and stability.
Jeff Johnston with CoBank’s Knowledge Exchange explains the growing role of Rural America in supporting the nation’s digital infrastructure.
NRECA CEO Jim Matheson reacts to the U.S. House’s passage of the SPEED Act, which aims to streamline federal permitting for energy and infrastructure projects, and discusses its potential impact on rural communities.
Cattle markets are watching the Cattle-on-Feed Report for signs of tighter supplies, while USMEF warns limited China access is cutting producer profits.
Callahan is no stranger to agricultural trade and has been with the U.S. Trade Representative’s office since 2016.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Tariff relief may soften grocery prices, but it also intensifies competition for U.S. fruit, vegetable, and beef producers as cheaper imports regain market share.
Strong U.S. yields and steady demand leave most major crops well supplied, keeping price pressure in place unless usage strengthens or weather shifts outlooks.
Retail competition and improved supplies are helping offset food inflation, pushing Thanksgiving meal costs modestly lower despite higher prices for beef, eggs, and dairy.
While agriculture doesn’t predict every recession, the sector’s long history of turning down before the broader economy
The ACRE Act modestly reduces farmland borrowing costs now, with more savings possible once federal guidance clarifies which loans qualify.
ARC-CO delivers the bulk of 2024 support, offering key margin relief as producers manage tight operating conditions.
Agriculture Shows
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.