Ag Equipment Sales Slide as 2025 Closes Weak

Soft equipment sales signal cautious farm spending as producers prioritize cash flow over expansion.

MILWAUKEE, Wisc. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farm machinery sales weakened further at the end of 2025, underscoring ongoing caution among producers as margins remain tight and replacement cycles are extended. New data from the Association of Equipment Manufacturers (AEM) show December tractor and combine sales declined year over year, reflecting restrained capital spending across much of the farm economy.

U.S. sales of agricultural tractors fell 14.8 percent in December compared with the same month in 2024, while combine sales declined 4.3 percent. The pullback was broad-based across horsepower categories. Sales of tractors under 40 horsepower dropped nearly 19 percent, mid-range tractors declined almost 5 percent, and units above 100 horsepower fell more than 18 percent. Four-wheel-drive tractor sales posted the steepest decline, down 31 percent from a year earlier.

Canadian markets showed a mixed picture. Tractor sales fell 13.7 percent year over year, mirroring weakness in the U.S. However, Canadian combine sales surged 26.1 percent, suggesting regional differences in replacement needs and harvest conditions.

Full-year figures point to a slower equipment cycle. U.S. tractor sales for 2025 finished nearly 10 percent below 2024 levels, while combine sales fell more than 35 percent year to date. Elevated equipment prices, higher interest rates, and softer commodity margins continue to weigh on purchasing decisions.

AEM notes the data reflect preliminary retail sales reported by member companies and serve as a barometer of producer confidence heading into 2026.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Soft equipment sales signal cautious farm spending as producers prioritize cash flow over expansion.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
The USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum highlights modest price support from tighter supplies across cotton, grains, dairy, livestock, and sugar into 2026.
Farm Bureau Economist Faith Parum discusses the latest Farm Bill proposal and the path ahead for Congress and U.S. agriculture.
Small Business Administration Deputy Administrator Bill Briggs joined us with an update on how the SBA is working to support rural communities and small businesses across the country.
President Donald Trump signed an executive order this week to accelerate domestic production of phosphorus and glyphosate, signaling that farm input availability is now treated as a national security risk.
The global rice surplus outweighs tighter U.S. supplies, pressuring prices.
A weaker dollar supports export demand and may strengthen crop prices.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Tight storage could widen basis and limit marketing flexibility.
Cold-driven spikes in gas prices can quickly raise fertilizer and energy costs.
Large carry-in stocks across major crops could limit price recovery in 2026/27 unless demand strengthens or weather-related supply reductions occur.
Stable small business confidence supports rural economies, but lingering cost pressures and uncertainty continue to shape farm-country decision-making.
Cotton acres slipping as competing crops gain ground.
Rising Chinese feed output — especially for swine — signals sustained demand for protein meals and feed inputs, even when meat production growth appears modest.
Agriculture Shows
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.