Allendale Survey Signals Corn Acres Down, Shift Toward Soybeans in 2026

Acreage shifts could influence spring marketing decisions.

Corn-Soybeans_AlfRibeiro-AdobeStock_335629402_1920x1080.jpg

AlfRibeiro – stock.adobe.com

WOODSTOCK, Ill. (RFD NEWS) — Private acreage estimates point to a shift toward soybeans in 2026, offering an early look ahead of the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Prospective Plantings Report due March 31.

Allendale and Chief Economist Rich Nelson estimate corn planted area at 93.678 million acres, down about 5.1 million acres from 2025, while soybean acres are pegged at 85.659 million acres, up roughly 4.4 million acres. All wheat acres are projected to be slightly lower, at 44.877 million.

Allendale’s survey implies corn production near 15.693 billion bushels, about 62 million below USDA Ag Forum expectations, while soybean output near 4.528 billion bushels would run roughly 78 million above. Wheat production is estimated at 1.856 billion bushels, modestly below prior projections.

Regionally, analysts expect acreage shifts across the Midwest and Plains as growers balance input costs, relative price signals, and rotation needs heading into spring planting.

Looking ahead, markets will focus on the USDA’s March 31 Prospective Plantings report to confirm or adjust private estimates.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Acreage shifts could influence spring marketing decisions.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Global pork production is expected to rise in the first half of 2026, despite trade volatility stemming from shifting import policies and swine disease pressures.
Clearer 45Z rules favor U.S. oilseeds, but final RFS volumes remain critical to locking in demand.
Even small declines in the calf crop translate into sustained supply pressure, supporting cattle prices over multiple years.
Economists are also closely watching how policy decisions in Washington could influence markets moving forward. Analysts say deferred futures for corn, soybeans, and wheat suggest markets are operating near break-even levels, not at prices that would encourage expanded production.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Using FEMA and USDA data, Trace One researchers estimate average annual U.S. agricultural losses of $3.48 billion, with drought accounting for more than half.
The new antitrust agreement between the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) aims to enforce antitrust laws and monitor market activity across the ag sector.
The impacts of the government shutdown have reached commodity growers with crops to move, ag economists monitoring the harvest without key data reporting, and meat producers in need of new export markets.
In a statement provided to RFD-TV News, a USDA spokesperson reiterated President Trump and the USDA’s commitment to farmers in difficult economic times.
Industry leaders say $11 billion in new investments could turn the tide as dairy producers face shrinking margins and growing uncertainty.
Export Inspections In Bushels Show Mixed Momentum Patterns