Analyst: Brazil’s Shift to Corn Ethanol Putting Global Sugar Prices in a Pinch

Market analyst and friend of the show, Shawn Hackett, says Brazil’s shifting use of crops for biofuel production is a significant factor.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Global sugar markets are seeing a shake-up, and it is all tied to ethanol production. Market analyst and friend of the show, Shawn Hackett, says Brazil’s shifting use of crops for biofuel production is a significant factor.

“One of the big demand factors in Brazil is ethanol from sugar, and in the last few years, because the price of corn got so undervalued that it’s actually much, much cheaper to produce ethanol out of corn than it is out of sugar,” Hacket said. “And so, all of the corn that they possibly can utilize to make ethanol is being utilized, so demand for corn-based ethanol is going through the roof.”

The dip in corn prices, followed by a rise in demand, is putting sugar in a pinch.

“The sugar processors are now trying to make as much sugar as possible, and they’re reducing that demand for ethanol, and that is significantly changing the equation of how much importable supplies they have to the open market,” Hackett explained. “That’s been really hitting sugar prices pretty hard, and that’s a big structural change that, until corn prices go up, sugar prices could be in an oversupply.”

Related Stories
The orchard along the Tennessee-Alabama border combines fruit production with agritourism.
Golden Harvest is introducing five new DuraStack and DuraStack-Viptera corn hybrids for 2027, offering new options for corn rootworm and insect management.
The proposed extension would keep the small producer credit in place through 2029.
China remained the leading destination for U.S. soybeans as weekly sales declined.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Nutrien eKonomics explains how farmers can rebuild low soil potassium, maintain levels above the critical value, and plan fertilizer applications.
Weaker pork demand and rising feed costs could put more pressure on producer margins in 2027.
The proposal would require data centers and other large users to cover infrastructure costs tied to their projects.
Iowa processors are bringing in soybeans by rail as wet weather slows harvest.
U.S. agricultural exports to China have fallen sharply as producers wait for tariff relief.
South Dakota research found grazing can help cover crops generate positive returns sooner.
President Donald Trump plans to sign an executive order to lower diesel costs, including expanding access to tax-exempt dyed diesel as farmers face high harvest fuel prices.
Improved water levels are allowing more vessels and deeper loads through the Panama Canal.
Winning bids averaged about $1.3 million as demand for 2027 grain rail capacity increased.
Rising Treasury yields could keep farm borrowing costs elevated heading into 2027.
Mid-Atlantic farmers are locking in 2027 fertilizer contracts now, as nitrogen imports and market uncertainty make input-cost planning a key risk-management concern.
Farmers and ranchers can apply through local Natural Resources Conservation Service offices using their state’s fiscal 2027 ranking deadlines.