Analyst: Brazil’s Shift to Corn Ethanol Putting Global Sugar Prices in a Pinch

Market analyst and friend of the show, Shawn Hackett, says Brazil’s shifting use of crops for biofuel production is a significant factor.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Global sugar markets are seeing a shake-up, and it is all tied to ethanol production. Market analyst and friend of the show, Shawn Hackett, says Brazil’s shifting use of crops for biofuel production is a significant factor.

“One of the big demand factors in Brazil is ethanol from sugar, and in the last few years, because the price of corn got so undervalued that it’s actually much, much cheaper to produce ethanol out of corn than it is out of sugar,” Hacket said. “And so, all of the corn that they possibly can utilize to make ethanol is being utilized, so demand for corn-based ethanol is going through the roof.”

The dip in corn prices, followed by a rise in demand, is putting sugar in a pinch.

“The sugar processors are now trying to make as much sugar as possible, and they’re reducing that demand for ethanol, and that is significantly changing the equation of how much importable supplies they have to the open market,” Hackett explained. “That’s been really hitting sugar prices pretty hard, and that’s a big structural change that, until corn prices go up, sugar prices could be in an oversupply.”

Related Stories
Allendale analysts say lower hog production has yet to generate the typical seasonal price movement.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities discusses late-season planting progress, market fundamentals heading into summer, and the influence of biofuel policy on grain demand.
Corn exports are strengthening the trade outlook, but lower soybean movement and weaker demand from China remain major concerns.
Higher domestic ethanol blending supports corn demand even as weekly production and export volumes decline.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

USMCA review nears a critical stage as the U.S. and Mexico advance talks while Canada risks being left behind, raising concerns across North American agriculture trade.
Sen. Jerry Moran of Kansas joins us to discuss the Food for Peace program’s Kansas roots, its place in the Farm Bill, and the importance of the USDA’s visit to the state.
USDA approves disaster aid for Pennsylvania orchard and specialty crop growers after April freezes caused major crop damage statewide.
Applications are open through July 27, 2026, on Grants.gov.
Brooks York with AgriSompo joined us to break down livestock protection coverage, market timing, and how producers can access risk management tools.
Jeramy Stephens with National Land Realty joined us to share guidance on preventing land fraud, identifying scams, and protecting farm and rural property owners.