Brazil’s corn production is growing, but its exports are not. The country is consuming more, and it could be good news for U.S. growers.
“Given this situation that the corn has good prices in domestic markets in Brazil because they have more use either in ethanol production or in meat production, we can expect that the amount of corn, at least from Brazil, in the international market, will reduce. And if that happens, the United States will have even more room to put its corn outside of the country,” said Joana Colussi.
Brazil uses more corn in ethanol production because it runs higher blends. In the U.S, regular gas contains around 10 percent ethanol, and E15 has around 15 percent. However, in Brazil, their ethanol blends run between 18 and 27 percent.
The U.S. has a bountiful corn supply, but markets are waiting for the January WASDE Report, which will include updated yield estimates.
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CoBank’s 2026 Year Ahead Report cites global grain oversupply, easing inflation, rate cuts, and major data center growth that could reshape rural America.
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Ethanol output softened, but underlying supply-and-demand trends indicate stable longer-term use despite short-term volatility in blending and exports.
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Strong Farm Credit finances help cushion producers, but prolonged low crop margins could strain renewals in 2026.
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