Cattle Market Outlook: U.S. Red Meat Production Declines as Auctions Gain Ground

Beef is leading the decline as slaughter drops and supplies tighten.

Set-of-various-classic-alternative-raw-meat-veal-beef-steaks-chateau-mignon-t-bone-tomahawk-striploin-tenderloin-new-york-steak.-Flat-lay-top-.-See-More-By-ricka_kinamoto_adobe-stock.png

Photo by Ricka Kinamoto via Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, TN (RFD NEWS) — U.S. red meat production moved lower in 2025, with beef leading the decline.

Dr. Josh Maples at Mississippi State University said total red meat output fell about 2 percent from 2024, with beef production down 3.6 percent and pork off 0.8 percent.

Cattle slaughter showed the sharper shift. Commercial cattle slaughter totaled 29.8 million head, down 6 percent from the previous year. Average live weight rose by 33 pounds, helping offset some of the production loss.

Those heavier cattle have become an important part of the supply story. Average live weights are now 67 pounds above 2023 levels, indicating that larger carcass weights are making up for some of the herd contraction.

The slaughter mix also changed, but not in a way that signals herd rebuilding. Steers made up 49.7 percent of federally inspected cattle slaughter, heifers 31.7 percent, and cull cows 17 percent, down from 17.8 percent in 2024.

Cold storage numbers support the tighter beef picture. Red meat inventories were down 2 percent from a year earlier, with beef down 3 percent and pork up 2 percent.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Beef remains the primary driver of tighter red meat supplies, even as heavier cattle partly cushion the decline.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

As production continues to see drops, cattle auctions are hotter than ever. This week, Superior Livestock auctioned 25,000 cattle at their event in Hudson Oaks, Texas, on Thursday.

Livestock Representative and Auctioneer Ralph Wade with Superior Livestock joined Tony St. James from the auction floor on Thursday’s Market Day Report with an update on the event and the current state of the fed cattle market.

In his conversation with RFD News, Wade said that the market is growing in demand: “We’ve continually seen this market gain traction, and you know we have our setbacks that you talked about a little bit earlier last week,” Wade told RFD News. “This market tried to break back, but it seems like it just kind of eases back, and then we pick up traction again.”

“The demand is just tremendous, no doubt, with this protein being the highest, best protein there is in the country,” Wade continued. “Everybody started to realize that, and the demand has been phenomenal over the last two or three years and just continues to gain popularity.”

Wade said that they have numerous events lined up for the summer.

More information can be found on Superior Livestock’s website.

Related Stories
David Gruchot with USDA APHIS joined us to discuss the growing threat of invasive pests and the steps individuals can take to help protect U.S. agriculture.
Texas Agriculture Commissioner Sid Miller joins us with an update on the most recent case of New World screwworm 90 miles from the U.S. Southern border.
Variety meat demand is helping offset weaker beef exports.
Superior Livestock Auctions markets more than 1.7 million head of cattle nationwide while also building long-term relationships between both cattle raisers and beef producers.
Alan Bjerga with the National Milk Producers Federation discusses how stewardship is driving efficiency, profitability, and competitiveness in the dairy industry.
Texas continues to play a critical role in the U.S. beef supply chain, with both cow-calf operations and feedlots contributing significantly to national production.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Florida’s import rule shows New World screwworm concerns are already affecting livestock movement and market conditions.
Rep. Adrian Smith joins us to discuss the push for nationwide year-round E15 sales and legislative hurdles for getting it into the farm bill.
Steady Panama Canal operations help support more predictable shipping conditions for global agriculture.
Lower slaughter numbers reduced 2025 red meat output even with heavier cattle and hogs.
Diversified risk tools help protect farm income.
Grain movement stayed active, with barges showing the strongest weekly gain while rail and ocean signals remained mixed.
Agriculture Shows
This high-yield corn contest showcases real-life Corn Warriors dealing with elements that every farmer knows well. Get an authentic look at what it takes to compete in a high-yield corn contest, and see who will take the title of Corn King.
As the trusted voice of the U.S. cattle and beef industry, the National Cattlemen Beef Association strives to share timely, relevant news. NCBA’s “Cattlemen to Cattlemen” is the leading TV show for beef producers to receive cattle industry news, education, and information.
America’s Heartland brings positive, heartfelt stories about American agriculture to viewers in both urban and rural areas.
Hosted by Pam Minick, “The American Rancher” focuses on the people and places that make ranching an American lifestyle. This half-hour magazine format series features livestock producers and their ranches, animals, and ranching practices.