Cautionary Tale of Tariffs: Ag groups are closely watching for retaliation

President Trump has pushed the rollout of his tariff plan back to March 4th, but they are still full speed ahead. While ag lawmakers are largely supportive, some warn farmers and ranchers could become targets.

“I do have a cautionary note always with tariffs because, historically, if we impose tariffs on another country, a lot of times we will see a retaliatory effort on their part. And nine times out of ten, the target for those retaliations is right at America’s breadbasket, our agricultural economy,” said Representative Dan Newhouse.

The Farm Bureau is also worried about retaliation. They have been watching the situation closely and say unless something changes, everything takes effect next Tuesday.

“If we do that, Canada’s retaliatory tariffs would also enter into force next Tuesday. Canada has also stated previously that if the tariffs were to remain in effect, they’ll impose further tariffs on an additional 125 billion dollars of U.S. products, which could expand to all U.S. agricultural products exported to Canada,” said AFBF Economist Betty Resnick.

Prior to last month’s pause, Canada listed a number of goods that would face retaliatory tariffs including proteins, row crops, and processed foods like chocolate, pasta, and soup.

Related Stories
Tariff relief and new trade agreements may temper food costs by reducing import costs.
Lewie Pugh with the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association (OOIDA) discusses the gap in truck driver education programs and how it impacts road safety and supply chain economics.
Georgia has regained its HPAI-free status after a swift response to October’s detection. Commissioner Tyler Harper urges producers to stay vigilant and maintain biosecurity.
While this month’s WASDE report will not include updated figures on U.S. crop size, officials say it will offer a clearer picture of crop conditions in the Southern Hemisphere.
USTR Jamieson Greer signals a narrower trade deal with China, adding more market uncertainty. The Farm Bureau also supports reviewing China’s missed trade commitments under the Phase One.
Mike Steenhoek, with the Soy Transportation Commission, shares his outlook on current grain stocks and transportation lines amid bumper crops filling bins across the United States.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Brent Graves, auctioneer and mentor, shares his journey supporting youth in agriculture, livestock competitions, and how he is turning junior livestock auctions into a classroom for youth in agriculture.
China’s beef policy risk stems from domestic volatility, making export demand inherently unstable. Jake Charleston with Specialty Risk Insurance offers his perspective on cattle markets, risk management, and producer sentiment.
USDA flash corn sales, Cattle on Feed and Inventory reports, and beef packer antitrust concerns dominate January agricultural market news.
U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins said permanent access to the higher ethanol blend would provide farmers with much-needed certainty while supporting domestic crop demand.
Food prices increased in December, but not as much as expected, according to the latest Consumer Price Index from the U.S. Bureau of Labor and Statistics.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities joined us to provide analysis on the January WASDE report and expectations for grain markets going forward.