Corn Inspections Jump; Soy Slows as Gulf Leads

A strong corn export pull is supportive of bids; soybeans need steady vessel programs or fresh sales to firm cash.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD-TV) — Export inspections showed a sharp split to end October — supportive for corn, softer for soy. USDA reported 65.7 million bushels of corn inspected for export in the week ended Oct. 30, while soybeans slipped to 35.5 million bushels. Wheat posted 12.9 million bushels and sorghum 2.7 million. For farmers, that mix points to firmer corn basis near river and rail loadouts, while soybean cash strength may hinge more on local crush and quick-ship export slots over the next couple of weeks.

Corn inspections rose 34 percent week over week and 109 percent from the same week last year; soybeans fell 17 percent on the week and 58 percent year over year. By destination, soybeans were heavy to Egypt and Italy out of the Gulf and to Japan and Vietnam via the Pacific Northwest; corn moved broadly with strong Gulf loadings.

Regional soy flows underscore the river’s role: Gulf ports handled ~23.1 million bushels this week, with the PNW near 5.1 million, Interior 7.0 million, and North Texas 4.4 million. Year to date, corn inspections are up 64 percent versus last year, wheat is up 20 percent, while soybeans are down 40 percent.

At the farm gate, expect relatively better corn bids where barge and unit-train capacity is available. At the same time, soybean basis may remain choppy as exporters juggle vessel lineups and interior crush runs at full capacity. Watch Gulf drafts, PNW lineups, and daily sales wires — any confirmation of fresh China demand could quickly tighten nearby soybean basis.

Farm-Level Takeaway: A strong corn export pull is supportive of bids; soybeans need steady vessel programs or fresh sales to firm cash.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Expert
Related Stories
Lower U.S. ethanol production and stocks may support ethanol prices while strong export demand continues to support ethanol and corn markets.
China’s changing pork demand may limit export growth opportunities.
North Carolina Farmer Trey Braswell joined us to discuss the White House Easter Egg Roll, his company’s continued involvement, and efforts to expand access to eggs nationwide.
Researchers with the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture are studying the clouded plant bug, which causes millions of dollars in damage to crops such as corn, soybeans, and cotton growing across the state.
Farm Bureau Economist Dr. Faith Parum warns farmers to brace for more losses as the war in Iran sends shockwaves through the ag economy and raises input costs even further.
Margin pressure and competitiveness concerns are shaping cautious outlooks.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Brazil logistics issues may support U.S. soybean demand.
AFBF Economist Danny Munch breaks down a new Farm Bureau analysis showing that producers now earn less than 6 cents of every food dollar, as farm input costs continue to squeeze margins.
Productivity gains are supporting supply despite limited herd expansion.
Brooks York with AgriSompo addresses how current market conditions and risk management are impacted by volatility in the Middle East, and considerations for farmers in the spring planting season.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided guidance on navigating the R&D tax credit, emphasizing record-keeping, eligibility, and maximizing potential savings as crop margins remain the key pressure point for farmers.
Justin Tupper with the U.S. Cattlemen’s Association joins us to discuss the USDA’s voluntary labeling updates, industry priorities, and the outlook for U.S. cattle producers.