Ag at a ‘Breaking Point': Farm Survey Signals Growing Stress Across U.S. Agriculture

Margin pressure and competitiveness concerns are shaping cautious outlooks.

Cotton Plant. Cotton picker working in a large cotton field_Photo by MagioreStockStudio via Adobe Stock.jpg

Photo by MagioreStockStudio via Adobe Stock

LUBBOCK, TEXAS (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farmers are increasingly concerned about long-term profitability and global competitiveness, as rising input costs and weaker margins continue to pressure operations across the country.

A new survey from the Southern Cotton Ginners Association, conducted at the Mid-South Farm & Gin Show, found more than 52 percent of respondents expect to be worse off within two years, while only 9 percent anticipate improvement. Over 75 percent believe U.S. agriculture has lost competitiveness in the past five years, with many pointing to Brazil’s lower costs, fewer regulations, and larger production scale as key advantages.

The cost-price squeeze remains a central concern. More than 80 percent of respondents identified commodity prices as a major issue, while 60 percent cited input costs as a primary pressure on margins. That combination is raising concerns about financial viability, with some producers indicating difficulty securing operating loans for the coming season.

Beyond farm-level economics, structural concerns are also emerging. Respondents highlighted consolidation among input suppliers and broader rural economic decline, including land leaving production and a decline in local operators.

Discussions at the event focused on potential solutions, including policy changes and incentives to support domestic production, but uncertainty remains elevated across the sector.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Margin pressure and competitiveness concerns are shaping cautious outlooks.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Frontier Futures broker Adam Knosalla says USDA’s higher corn estimates reflected more harvest information replacing earlier trend-based assumptions.
University of Tennessee Associate Professor Dr. Sreedhar Upendram discusses how 4-H, Tractor Supply, and Starlink will improve connectivity and digital education for rural youth.
Global food insecurity is projected to decline over the next decade as incomes rise and food price inflation eases, though regional challenges will persist.
Mexico is a crucial market for Washington apples, and a recent anti-dumping case adds another trade hurdle as USMCA talks continue.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Stronger demand for french fries and chips helped absorb more of the 2025 potato crop.
AI-related goods drove nearly half of global merchandise trade growth in the first half of 2026.
Rising imports are putting new focus on how domestic and foreign suppliers can grow U.S. lamb demand.
China is using more wheat for livestock feed, putting it in greater competition with corn.
USDA and the FTC are asking producers to share firsthand experiences with equipment sales and repair restrictions.
Higher corn and soybean prices helped improve farm loan repayment conditions during the third quarter.
NRCS is easing participation requirements and shifting more conservation decisions to the state level.
Lower-cost grains are replacing corn in livestock feed as China’s hog sector weakens.
Below-normal inventories are expected to keep pressure on diesel prices through the winter.
Willingness to pay for beef climbed in September despite continued pressure on household budgets.
USDA says the $13.8 billion total is before payment-limit reductions and a required 5.7% sequestration cut.
Federal officials are examining claims of barriers to new competitors in fertilizer markets.