Corn Supply Falls While Feed Grain Prices Rise

Feed grain supplies may tighten in 2026/27, supporting higher corn and sorghum prices despite large crops.

corn grain silo stock photo_input costs and producer inflation_adobe stock.png

Adobe Stock

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. feed grain supplies are expected to tighten in 2026/27, even with corn production still projected as the second largest crop on record. USDA’s Economic Research Service says corn production is forecast at 16.0 billion bushels, down 6 percent from last year.

Planted corn acreage is expected at 95.3 million acres, down 3.5 million from 2025/26. USDA projects harvested acres at 87.4 million, with yield falling from last year’s record 186.5 bushels per acre to 183.0.

Corn use is also expected to decline. Exports are forecast at 3.15 billion bushels, still the second-largest on record, while ethanol use is projected to remain unchanged at 5.6 billion bushels.

Sorghum production is projected to be lower, at 367 million bushels, with exports falling to 205 million bushels. China remains central to sorghum demand after accounting for most U.S. export movement in recent years.

USDA projects corn ending stocks at 1.96 billion bushels and the season-average price at $4.40 per bushel.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Feed grain supplies may tighten in 2026/27, supporting higher corn and sorghum prices despite large crops.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
National Pork Board’s Andy Tauer discusses the growing popularity of the Boston Butt Pork Burger and key topics at the USMEF Spring Conference.
Corn inspections remain strong year-to-date, while China’s soybean and sorghum movement remains important to late-season export demand.
At the center of the announcement is the Blue Point Project in Louisiana, a $3.7 billion ammonia facility, USDA says, that will become the world’s largest ammonia plant once completed.
Southern Plains wheat shippers face higher rail fuel surcharges as hard red winter wheat production falls toward a nearly 70-year low.
USDA says both crops remain ahead of the five-year average as farmers continue monitoring dry Corn Belt conditions.
RealAg Radio’s Shaun Haney joins us to discuss Canadian farmer sentiment, saying many are also struggling with profitability and long-term outlook in agriculture.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

The challenge is adoption.
The work could apply to ready-to-eat meals and delicate foods such as freeze-dried berries.
Corn exports remained active the week of May 7, but weak soybean, cotton, and sorghum sales kept attention on China and late-year demand.
Conservation programs may work better when they recognize yield risk and cash-flow pressure during adoption.
Cotton growers can use the survey to compare nutrient, herbicide, and pest-management practices against national production benchmarks.
Higher food costs are showing up beyond the grocery aisle, with some major restaurant chains shrinking their U.S. footprint.