WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. farm price relationships weakened further at the end of 2025 as prices received by producers declined while costs continued to climb, tightening margins across much of agriculture. USDA’s December Agricultural Prices report (PDF Version) shows broad pressure on livestock values alongside modest relief in select crop markets.
The December Prices Received Index fell 3.1 percent from November and 4.6 percent from a year earlier. Crop prices were mixed, with the Crop Production Index down 2.4 percent month to month but still 3.4 percent above December 2024. Livestock prices drove most of the decline, with the Livestock Production Index dropping 5.7 percent from November and 13 percent from a year ago. Lower prices for cattle, milk, eggs, and lettuce outweighed gains in broilers, corn, grapes, and calves.
At the same time, input costs continued to rise. The Prices Paid Index increased 0.3 percent from November and stood 8.5 percent higher than a year earlier. Higher costs for feeder cattle, feeder pigs, nitrogen, and concentrates offset lower fuel, feed, and forage prices.
The ratio of prices received to prices paid slipped to 79, underscoring ongoing margin stress.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Falling livestock prices combined with higher input costs continue to squeeze farm profitability heading into 2026.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Tight fed supplies shift margin risk to packers, strengthening cattle price leverage but increasing volatility.
January 09, 2026 03:36 PM
·
Expanding chicken supplies are likely to keep prices under pressure in early 2026 despite steady demand growth.
January 09, 2026 11:00 AM
·
The “Wild, Wild West” of Taxes
January 09, 2026 09:00 AM
·
Reduced winter placements indicate tighter fed cattle supplies and greater leverage during peak-demand months.
January 09, 2026 06:00 AM
·
AFBF Economist Faith Parum provides analysis and perspective on the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program—what commodity growers should know and potential remedies for producers facing crop losses where that aid falls short.
January 08, 2026 02:45 PM
·
Farmer Bridge payments are being used primarily to reduce debt and protect cash flow, not drive new spending. Curt Blades with the Association of Equipment Manufacturers joined us to provide insight into the ag equipment market and the factors influencing sales.
January 08, 2026 08:00 AM
·
Rail strength is helping stabilize grain movement, but river and export slowdowns continue to limit overall logistics momentum.
January 08, 2026 06:00 AM
·
Retail pricing confirms tight cattle supplies and supports continued leverage for producers, reinforcing the need for disciplined risk management.
January 07, 2026 06:00 PM
·
Wed, 1/21/26 – 7:30 PM ET | 6:30 PM CT | 5:30 PM MT | 4:30 PM PT
January 07, 2026 03:26 PM
·