Diesel Prices Keep Rising as Middle East Tensions Continue

Kansas State University agricultural economist Dr. Gregg Ibendahl discusses rising diesel prices, the influence of global oil markets, and the potential impact on farmers heading into the spring planting season.

diesel.jpg

Market Day Report

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Diesel prices are climbing toward $5 per gallon following sharp spikes in global oil markets, adding new cost pressures for farmers preparing for spring planting.

According to AAA, the national average for a gallon of diesel has reached $4.98, up from $4.65 just one week ago. A month ago, diesel averaged $3.64 per gallon, and one year ago it was about $3.60. The surge comes as Brent crude oil prices topped $105 per barrel amid ongoing disruptions tied to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy shipping route.

Dr. Gregg Ibendahl, an agricultural economist with Kansas State University, joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report to discuss what historical oil and gas price trends might suggest for pump prices in the current climate.

In his interview with RFD NEWS, Ibendahl explained that crude oil prices are a key driver of fuel costs, and major disruptions to transportation routes can quickly ripple through energy markets.

With the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed, Ibendahl noted the potential for longer-term impacts if shipping disruptions persist. Higher fuel prices could significantly increase operating costs for farmers, particularly as they begin spring planting and rely heavily on diesel for fieldwork and transportation.

Ibendahl also discussed how quickly markets might stabilize if the geopolitical situation is resolved. While crude oil prices can react quickly to new developments, it may take longer for those changes to filter down to diesel prices at the pump.

Related Stories
Lower tariff rates and new rail-service proposals may improve corn movement efficiency during early-season marketing.
Crop producers face tightening credit and lower incomes, while strong cattle markets continue to stabilize finances in livestock-heavy regions.
Row crop losses in 2025 are outpacing last year. With no disaster aid yet approved, many operations face a tough financial bridge to 2026 even as Farm Bill improvements remain a year away.
Experts say farmers and ethanol producers would benefit from a risk-based ILUC system that protects forests without relying on speculative modeling.
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer explains the USDA’s Stage Two Supplemental Disaster Relief Program, including application details, deadlines, and guidance for rural producers.

Marion is a digital content manager for RFD News and FarmHER + RanchHER. She started working for Rural Media Group in May 2022, bringing a decade of digital experience in broadcast media and some cooking experience to the team.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Farmer Bridge Assistance payments provide immediate balance-sheet support heading into 2026, but remain a short-term bridge rather than a substitute for long-term market recovery.
The New Year is here, but in Oregon, some ranchers and livestock producers are still trying to recover from record wildfires back in 2024.
The U.S. Forest Service takes us on the same journey from a tree farm in Nevada across America to experience the magic of Christmas in the U.S. Capitol.
Rep. Randy Feenstra, R-IA, details how the “One, Big, Beautiful Bill” Act (OBBBA) supports farmers, biofuels, and rural communities with tax breaks, crop insurance relief, and ag infrastructure.
Jake Charleston of Specialty Risk Insurance shares risk-reduction strategies to help cattle producers prepare for a successful year ahead.
Oregon FFA CEO Kjer Kizer discusses the proposed budget reductions, potential consequences, and the importance of protecting learning opportunities for students interested in agriculture.