Ethanol Exports Strengthen Market Access as U.S.-China Deal, Phase One Investigation Move Forward

Chris Bliley with Growth Energy discusses ongoing concerns about U.S. ethanol exports and the expansion of market access promised under the Phase One deal between the U.S. and China.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD-TV) — U.S. ethanol production eased slightly last week, even as inventories and exports climbed, according to EIA data compiled by the Renewable Fuels Association. Output fell 1.9 percent to 1.09 million barrels per day — equal to 45.8 million gallons daily — but remained 0.8 percent above last year and 3.1 percent above the three-year average. The four-week average rate rose to an annualized pace of 16.7 billion gallons.

Ethanol stocks expanded two percent to 22.4 million barrels, running 2.7 percent above a year ago and 3.2 percent higher than the three-year average. Most of the build occurred along the Gulf and West Coasts. Gasoline supplied to the market — a proxy for demand — rebounded 5.6 percent to 8.92 million barrels per day, slightly trailing last year but still topping its three-year trend.

Net ethanol blending inputs held steady at 911,000 barrels per day, while exports jumped nearly 35 percent to 175,000 barrels per day, the highest since January. Analysts note the continued absence of imports for more than a year highlights the U.S.’s strong domestic balance and competitive export position.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Slightly lower output alongside stronger exports and inventories suggests a firming global ethanol market heading into winter.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Expert

The nation’s largest biofuel trade association, Growth Energy, is voicing support for the U.S. investigation into China’s implementation of the Phase One trade agreement, a move announced just days before renewed trade talks between President Trump and China’s President Xi.

Chris Bliley with Growth Energy joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to discuss the ongoing concerns surrounding U.S. ethanol exports and market access promised under the Phase One deal.

In his interview with RFD-TV News, Bliley shared what the industry hopes to see come from the investigation and how it could influence future trade policy. He also addressed the potential for renewed tension between the U.S. and China as the investigation proceeds, while highlighting new trade agreements announced by the U.S. with four Southeast Asian countries that could open new opportunities for American ethanol producers.

Related Stories
Several counties are reviewing disaster declarations. Crop insurance may help growers cover some costs.
Mexico’s demand for U.S. corn, soybeans, and wheat remained mostly steady during the first quarter, despite higher transportation costs.
The temporary closures come as grain traffic on the Arkansas River continues running ahead of recent years.
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney says producers should continue to watch tariff negotiations, market access, and the possibility of a more transactional trade relationship with China.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Soy Transportation Coalition’s Mike Steenhoek discusses the proposed six-axle truck pilot program and its potential impacts on agriculture and freight transportation.
Ohio Farm Bureau’s Evan Callicoat discusses data center expansion in the state, producers’ land and resource concerns, and debates over tax exemptions and rural development.
Markets have been slow to respond as crop stress worsens across major winter wheat regions, where quality ratings have fallen to multi-decade lows.
Producers say limited moisture is creating major challenges for crops and irrigation heading into summer.
Mike Stranz joins us to discuss farm safety net reforms, NFU’s proposed IMSET program, and the challenges facing family farmers nationwide.
USDA will elevate its “Plant Not Plastic” initiative and promote American cotton over synthetic fibers.