NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. ethanol markets opened 2026 with mixed signals, as domestic production and blending slowed while export demand remained a clear bright spot. Weekly data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, analyzed by the Renewable Fuels Association, show ethanol production fell 2.0 percent to 1.10 million barrels per day in early January, slightly below last year but still well above the three-year average.
Domestic demand softened alongside lower gasoline consumption. Ethanol blending by refiners dropped sharply, hitting the lowest level since early 2023, while implied gasoline demand declined nearly five percent week over week. Ethanol stocks increased modestly, though inventories remain below both last year and the three-year average, suggesting supply is not burdensome.
In contrast, exports provided strong support. October ethanol exports surged 25 percent to a record 185 million gallons, led by Canada and by solid gains across Europe and Asia. Year-to-date ethanol exports are running 13 percent ahead of last year. DDGS exports were mixed, with steady demand from Mexico offset by weaker shipments to parts of Asia.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Export strength continues to underpin ethanol and corn demand, even as domestic fuel use shows seasonal softness.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
As ag lawmakers in the Senate await the House vote on the Farm Bill, they are eager to discuss the challenges farmers face before it is their turn to take up the critical legislation.
March 26, 2026 04:29 PM
·
Productivity gains are supporting supply despite limited herd expansion.
March 26, 2026 03:23 PM
·
Elena Chavez with Halter provided insight into the company’s virtual fencing technology, its adoption in the U.S., and the impact of recent funding on ranching operations.
March 26, 2026 03:21 PM
·
Brooks York with AgriSompo addresses how current market conditions and risk management are impacted by volatility in the Middle East, and considerations for farmers in the spring planting season.
March 26, 2026 02:57 PM
·
Farm CPA Paul Neiffer provided guidance on navigating the R&D tax credit, emphasizing record-keeping, eligibility, and maximizing potential savings as crop margins remain the key pressure point for farmers.
March 26, 2026 12:29 PM
·
RFA and ACE leaders join us to discuss the latest developments in ethanol policy, market impacts, and the path forward
March 26, 2026 11:49 AM
·
