Ethanol Production Hits Record As Demand Strengthens

Record ethanol production, coupled with stronger demand, supports corn use despite tighter margins elsewhere.

Farmland producing ethanol for the oil and gas industry. Railroad tankers cars lined up near a ethanol plant at sunset_Photo by photogrfx via AdobeStock_496174713.png

Photo by photogrfx via Adobe Stock

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. ethanol production surged to a new record as stronger fuel demand and exports tightened inventories, offering supportive signals for corn demand. According to the Renewable Fuels Association, output for the week ending December 12 rose 2.4 percent to 1.13 million barrels per day, the highest level ever recorded.

Production ran 2.5 percent above the same week last year and nearly 6 percent above the three-year average. The four-week average also climbed, pushing the annualized production pace to about 17.2 billion gallons. At the same time, ethanol stocks declined modestly to 22.4 million barrels, falling below both year-ago levels and the three-year average, with inventories thinning in most regions.

Fuel demand showed notable improvement. Gasoline supplied to the market jumped more than 7 percent to a 15-week high, while refiner and blender ethanol use rose to a seven-week high. Export demand strengthened sharply, with weekly shipments climbing more than 50 percent to the strongest level since August.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Record ethanol production, coupled with stronger demand, supports corn use despite tighter margins elsewhere.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Jim Matheson, CEO of the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association, provides new updates on winter storm impacts and the outlook for rural power reliability.
Strong rail demand and higher fuel costs raise transportation risk even as barge and export flows stabilize.
Traders say that shift could eventually prompt the USDA to scale back soybean export projections, noting the outlook differs greatly for other grain commodities.
The federal government’s status is far from the only factor moving the markets on Friday. Two critical reports released today on producer inflation and the status of the U.S. cattle herd are also top of mind.
Record milk output looks strong today, but shrinking replacement numbers mean future supply adjustments could be faster and more volatile.
Often overlooked, cotton wholesalers act as stabilizers during market stress, translating fragmented retail demand into workable production programs for mills and manufacturers.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Reliable waterways lower costs, protect export demand, and support long-term farm profitability.
Strong White House backing supports ethanol demand, but timing now hinges on Congress resolving procedural — at the same time as they push toward a spending bill to avert another federal government shutdown.
Greater transparency into USDA-backed lending can help rural lenders and producers better assess credit availability and investment trends.
Mixed product pricing and rising milk supplies suggest margin management will remain critical as 2026 unfolds.
Corn and soybean exports continue to anchor weekly inspection totals, with China maintaining a visible role, while wheat and sorghum remain more dependent on regional and seasonal demand shifts.
Rail continues to carry a larger share of the grain load, increasing sensitivity to rail capacity, labor, and pricing conditions.