Export Diversification Reshapes Corn Growth, Softens Soybean Declines

Broader export demand helps stabilize prices and supports stronger marketing opportunities over time.

Corn-Soybeans_AlfRibeiro-AdobeStock_335629402_1920x1080.jpg

AlfRibeiro – stock.adobe.com

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — U.S. corn and soybean export patterns in 2025 show how market diversification can either drive growth or reduce damage when demand shifts. Analysis from Purdue University finds that corn exports are expanding despite weakness among traditional buyers, while soybean exports declined but avoided a sharper collapse because sales were spread across more destinations.

USDA export data through October show soybean shipments trailing 2024 levels, with total exports projected near 44.5 million metric tons, down about 13 percent year over year. China’s share of U.S. soybean exports fell sharply, but gains across the European Union, Mexico, Southeast Asia, and North Africa absorbed much of the lost volume, turning what could have been a crisis into a manageable contraction.

Corn exports tell a different story. Even with reduced purchases from Mexico, Japan, and Colombia, total U.S. corn exports are projected to be near 78 million metric tons, up roughly 8 percent from 2024. Strong demand from a broader set of buyers, combined with ample U.S. supplies, pushed monthly shipments above last year’s pace.

The findings underscore how diversified export portfolios reduce reliance on any single market.

LEARN MORE: www.farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/

Farm-Level Takeaway: Broader export demand helps stabilize prices and supports stronger marketing opportunities over time.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

Related Stories
Co-Bank Lead Dairy Economist, Corey Geiger, joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report for a further look at the drop in replacement heifers and the trend’s longterm impact on dairy producers and cattle prices.
This Week in Louisiana Agriculture shows us why breaking even is going to be a challenge for corn producers across the state.
Farmers are struggling with low commodity prices and skyrocketing input costs, resulting in debt that is outpacing income across the sector, according to the USDA’s new farm income forecast.
The American Soybean Association is calling on the White House to ease up on Chinese tariffs

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

U.S. Farmers Navigate Harvest Pace, Costs, Policy Shifts
Land values are increasing faster than farm income, making it more challenging for young and beginning farmers to expand, but supporting equity for current landowners.
Smaller flocks and lower lay rates are pressuring table egg supplies, even as hatchery activity edges higher.
Strong corn exports are anchoring U.S. trade, while soybean sales remain steady, but shipments lag.
Smaller slaughter numbers across beef and pork signal tighter supplies into late 2025, while record-low veal production highlights ongoing structural changes in the sector.
Potash has seen the most significant decline, falling 11 percent over the same five-year period.