Farm Lenders See Growing Financial Divide Across Agriculture

Lenders report tighter profits and growing financial pressure on farmers.

split interest transactions_adobe stock.png

Road Split Red and Blue Water Great Salt Lake

Dansker Digital via Adobe Stock

MINNEAPOLIS, Minn. (RFD-TV) — Four in ten agricultural borrowers may finish 2026 without a profit as higher operating costs, tighter liquidity and sharply different conditions between crop and livestock producers reshape the farm credit outlook.

The American Bankers Association and Farmer Mac say 75 percent of agricultural lenders reported tighter profitability in their local farm economies. Lenders estimate 60 percent of borrowers will remain profitable this year, helped in part by projected record government payments.

Liquidity remains the top producer concern for the fourth consecutive year, while inflationary pressure rose sharply as higher energy costs increased farm expenses.

Lenders also reported a widening financial gap between crop and livestock producers, with profitability varying significantly by region and commodity concentration.

Despite the pressure, agricultural loan performance remains generally strong, although lenders expect credit quality to weaken further over the next 12 months.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Government payments are helping support farm income, but persistent liquidity pressure and uneven sector profitability leave many producers financially vulnerable heading into 2027.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Planned facilities will focus on food safety and product development.
Farm Bureau analysis shows harvest prices finished above spring crop insurance prices for all four crops for only the second time since 2011.
USDA’s Grain Transportation Report says the average Class I railroad fuel surcharge climbed to 76 cents per mile in November, up 231 percent from April.
Texas A&M AgriLife Extension grain marketing economist Mark Welch says several major demand categories continue to provide support.
Texas A&M AgriLife Extension grain marketing economist Mark Welch says 40 days of use has become an important dividing line for corn prices
Through September, U.S. ethanol exports reached 1.83 billion gallons, 14 percent above the same period in 2025. U.S. ethanol imports were zero in September.
Farmers could gain new market opportunities by taking part in decisions about production requirements.
Farmers are shifting toward sunflower production as concerns over drought and operating costs increase.
NCBA Executive Director Sigrid Johannes says Senate Democrats now have less incentive to accept a lame-duck compromise when they expect to return in January with a much stronger majority.
Mexican feeder cattle imports are recovering as border crossings reopen, but trade remains limited.
Dow Jones Energy says USDA projects those expenses will rise 15.3 percent from last year.
Traders are selling off grain and oilseed positions as concerns over global supplies begin to ease.