Farm Loan Quality Concerns Rise Ahead of 2027

Lenders are watching repayment capacity as uncertainty around crop profitability continues

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MINNEAPOLIS, Minn. (RFD-TV) —Agricultural credit quality is drawing increased concern among bankers in the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis district, even as overall banking conditions remained relatively stable during the second quarter.

The Minneapolis Fed surveyed 84 bankers across Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, northwestern Wisconsin and Michigan’s Upper Peninsula. Forty-one percent of respondents flagged possible deterioration in agricultural loan quality, making farm lending one of the areas drawing the most scrutiny.

Bankers pointed to uncertainty over commodity prices, input costs and farm profitability, particularly in row crops. Some cow-calf operations were borrowing less because stronger cattle returns allowed producers to fund operating needs through livestock sales.

Agricultural loan demand was mixed during the survey period, with 20% of bankers reporting an increase and 16% reporting a decline. Looking ahead, 35% expect agricultural loan demand to increase over the next 12 months.

The report says operating loan renewals heading into 2027 could receive closer review as lenders watch repayment capacity and farm financial conditions.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Row-crop producers may face closer lender scrutiny heading into 2027 as concerns about agricultural loan quality increase.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

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