Freight Bottlenecks Reshape Grain and Fertilizer Shipping Routes

The latest developments point to shifting export routes, higher congestion risk, and continuing cost pressure for grain, fertilizer, and energy shipments.

shipping containers import export tariffs_Photo by Ralf Gosch via AdobeStock_91592445.png

Photo by Ralf Gosch via Photo by Ralf Gosch via AdobeStock

NASHVILLE, TENN. (RFD NEWS) — Transportation pressure is building across several key farm freight channels, from the Panama Canal to the U.S.-Mexico border. The latest developments point to shifting export routes, higher congestion risk, and continuing cost pressure for grain, fertilizer, and energy shipments.

The Surface Transportation Board approved a proposed short line and bridge project at Eagle Pass, Texas, where Green Eagle Railroad wants to build a second rail crossing to Mexico. Eagle Pass is the top gateway for overland soybean exports to Mexico, but the project still depends on Union Pacific and BNSF agreeing to move traffic onto the new line.

Waterborne shipping is also being reshaped. The Jones Act waiver for fertilizer and energy cargoes was extended for another 90 days, while the Strait of Hormuz closure pushed more energy demand toward the U.S. Gulf and increased congestion at the Panama Canal. Southbound non-reserved waits reached 10.8 days, and Panamax auction prices surged.

At the same time, grain transportation signals stayed mixed. Rail grain carloads rose 8 percent from the previous week, but barge movements fell 11 percent. Ocean grain loadings and expected Gulf vessel traffic both increased from last year.

Diesel prices eased again, but at $5.351 per gallon, they remained well above last year’s levels, leaving transportation costs elevated across the farm economy.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Grain and input movement is still working, but congestion, fuel costs, and route shifts are raising logistics risk.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Fertilizer markets face uncertainty after President Trump raised the possibility of tariffs on Canadian imports, with analysts warning of supply and pricing risks. Josh Linville with StoneX provides a fertilizer industry outlook.
A new study found that retaining the EPA’s half-RIN credit protects soybean demand, farm income, and crushing-sector strength while preserving biofuel market flexibility.
Ethanol output softened, but underlying supply-and-demand trends indicate stable longer-term use despite short-term volatility in blending and exports.
Strong Farm Credit finances help cushion producers, but prolonged low crop margins could strain renewals in 2026.
Stronger sorghum genetics could enhance the resilience of bioenergy crops and broaden production options for growers in harsher climates.
Canadian tariffs would raise costs for potash, ammonia, and UAN, increasing spring fertilizer risk.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Trade volatility and shifting export destinations increase marketing risk for producers heading into 2026.
Rising rural business confidence supports local ag economies, but taxes and labor shortages remain key constraints.
The proposal signals a renewed push to offset tariff-driven losses, stabilize nutrition programs, and broaden eligibility for farm aid, though its path forward will depend on congressional negotiations.
Soft equipment sales signal cautious farm spending as producers prioritize cash flow over expansion.
Wind repowering offers a rare opportunity to renegotiate outdated leases and improve long-term land income for landowners who act early.
Record ethanol production and improving blending demand continue to support corn usage despite rising short-term inventories.