Grain Transportation Mixed As Rail Slows, Barges Surge

Logistics capacity remains available, but winter volatility favors flexible delivery and marketing plans. NGFA President Mike Seyfert provides insight into grain transportation trends, trade policy, and priorities for the year ahead.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. grain transportation showed sharply mixed signals heading into early January, with rail volumes retreating while barge movement rebounded strongly after late-December weakness. The pattern reflects seasonal volatility rather than a breakdown in logistics capacity, according to the latest USDA Grain Transportation Report (PDF Version).

U.S. Class I railroads originated 24,757 grain carloads during the week ending December 27, down 14 percent from the previous week. Despite the decline, rail volumes remained 7 percent above last year and 16 percent above the three-year average, signaling underlying demand for rail service remains intact. Secondary shuttle railcar premiums dropped sharply to $526 per car above tariff, easing more than $300 week over week, while non-shuttle premiums fell to $19 above tariff — a sign of improving near-term rail availability.

Barge traffic moved in the opposite direction. Grain movements totaled 757,876 tons for the week ending January 3, up 87 percent from the prior week and 8 percent above last year. More barges moved downriver, and unloadings in the New Orleans region surged, reflecting renewed export flow.

Ocean shipping remained softer, though freight rates to Japan declined, offering some cost relief.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Logistics capacity remains available, but winter volatility favors flexible delivery and marketing plans.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Grain transportation networks are sending mixed signals as the new year begins, with rail and barge traffic moving in opposite directions. Rail carloads fell 14 percent in late December, while barge grain movement surged, up 87 percent last week and running eight percent ahead of the same time last year.

At the same time, the upcoming review of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is drawing increased attention from farm groups, particularly those involved in the grain and oilseed supply chain.

Mike Seyfert, president of the National Grain and Feed Association (NGFA), joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report to discuss the importance of the agreement and current industry issues.

In his interview with RFD-TV News, Seyfert explained the impact of the U.S.-M-C-A on the grain and feed sector and why access to cross-border trade markets is critical for the industry. He also shared his perspective on whether the renewal process presents an opportunity to strengthen grain trade between the three countries.

Seyfert also weighed in on the recent reintroduction of the HAULS Act, which Senator Deb Fischer discussed on the program last week, and outlined how the legislation could benefit agriculture and the broader supply chain. Looking ahead, he discussed other top issues facing the grain industry as the year progresses, and previewed NGFA’s annual convention, which will be held in Nashville in March 2026, and highlighted what attendees can expect at the event.

Related Stories
Caleb Ragland, president of the American Soybean Association (ASA), shares his reaction to news of soybean sales to China, which is considered both “welcome news” and a return to near-normal trade relations.
Farm Bureau Economist Faith Parum discusses key outcomes from the U.S.-China trade agreement and the benefits of expanding trade across Southeast Asia.
Chris Bliley with Growth Energy discusses ongoing concerns about U.S. ethanol exports and the expansion of market access promised under the Phase One deal between the U.S. and China.
“It does not extinguish right away here — in any sort of sense — the real profitability concerns and people’s ability to pay bills and get to the other side of this in the very short term. This is where the skepticism builds.”
U.S. Senator Roger Marshall (R-KS) shares his perspective on the U.S.-China trade developments and their potential impact on American producers, farmers, and ranchers.
Rich Nelson, a commodity broker for Allendale Inc., joins us to break down what the U.S.-China trade agreement means for the ag economy.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Mike Knotts with the Tennessee Electric Cooperative Association joined us with the latest on storm impacts, power restoration, and safety considerations following the ice storm.
Brooks York with AgriSompo joined us with his outlook on crop insurance and risk management following the recent winter storm that tore through most of the United States, including the Midwest.
Meat stocks rose seasonally but remain below last year overall, while tighter butter inventories could support dairy prices, and belly stocks warrant close watch for pork markets.
Payment totals alone do not show financial stress — production costs and net losses complete the picture.
Year-round E15 remains on the table, but procedural caution and competing regional interests pushed action into a slower, negotiated path.
A mid-January winter storm delivered snow, ice, and extreme cold to a broad swath of the U.S., disrupting transportation, stressing livestock systems, and adding cost and complexity to winter farm operations as producers look toward spring.
Agriculture Shows
Hosted by Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady and RFD News Markets Specialist Tony St. James, Commodity Talk delivers expert insight into the day’s ag commodity markets just before the CME opens. Only on RFD-TV and Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147.
A look at the news, weather and commodities headlines that drove agriculture markets in the past week.
Everything profits from prairie. Soil, air, water — and all kinds of life! Learn how you can improve your land with prairie restoration, cover crops and prairie strips, while growing your bottom line.
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.