Grain Transportation Mixed As Rail Slows, Barges Surge

Logistics capacity remains available, but winter volatility favors flexible delivery and marketing plans. NGFA President Mike Seyfert provides insight into grain transportation trends, trade policy, and priorities for the year ahead.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. grain transportation showed sharply mixed signals heading into early January, with rail volumes retreating while barge movement rebounded strongly after late-December weakness. The pattern reflects seasonal volatility rather than a breakdown in logistics capacity, according to the latest USDA Grain Transportation Report (PDF Version).

U.S. Class I railroads originated 24,757 grain carloads during the week ending December 27, down 14 percent from the previous week. Despite the decline, rail volumes remained 7 percent above last year and 16 percent above the three-year average, signaling underlying demand for rail service remains intact. Secondary shuttle railcar premiums dropped sharply to $526 per car above tariff, easing more than $300 week over week, while non-shuttle premiums fell to $19 above tariff — a sign of improving near-term rail availability.

Barge traffic moved in the opposite direction. Grain movements totaled 757,876 tons for the week ending January 3, up 87 percent from the prior week and 8 percent above last year. More barges moved downriver, and unloadings in the New Orleans region surged, reflecting renewed export flow.

Ocean shipping remained softer, though freight rates to Japan declined, offering some cost relief.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Logistics capacity remains available, but winter volatility favors flexible delivery and marketing plans.
Tony St. James, RFD News Markets Specialist

Grain transportation networks are sending mixed signals as the new year begins, with rail and barge traffic moving in opposite directions. Rail carloads fell 14 percent in late December, while barge grain movement surged, up 87 percent last week and running eight percent ahead of the same time last year.

At the same time, the upcoming review of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is drawing increased attention from farm groups, particularly those involved in the grain and oilseed supply chain.

Mike Seyfert, president of the National Grain and Feed Association (NGFA), joined us on Monday’s Market Day Report to discuss the importance of the agreement and current industry issues.

In his interview with RFD-TV News, Seyfert explained the impact of the U.S.-M-C-A on the grain and feed sector and why access to cross-border trade markets is critical for the industry. He also shared his perspective on whether the renewal process presents an opportunity to strengthen grain trade between the three countries.

Seyfert also weighed in on the recent reintroduction of the HAULS Act, which Senator Deb Fischer discussed on the program last week, and outlined how the legislation could benefit agriculture and the broader supply chain. Looking ahead, he discussed other top issues facing the grain industry as the year progresses, and previewed NGFA’s annual convention, which will be held in Nashville in March 2026, and highlighted what attendees can expect at the event.

Related Stories
Persistently low Mississippi River levels are turning logistics challenges into pricing risks — tightening margins for grain producers and exporters across the heartland.
China’s grain expansion model may be hitting its limit. Lower prices, high rents, and policy fatigue threaten future output — with ripple effects across global feed and oilseed markets.
U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson (R-SD) shares his outlook on the developing U.S.-China Trade agreement, and the ongoing impact of the federal government shutdown—now stretching past four weeks—on rural communities and producers.
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report to discuss what the Carney-Xi meeting could mean for Canadian producers.
Caleb Ragland, president of the American Soybean Association (ASA), shares his reaction to news of soybean sales to China, which is considered both “welcome news” and a return to near-normal trade relations.
Farm Bureau Economist Faith Parum discusses key outcomes from the U.S.-China trade agreement and the benefits of expanding trade across Southeast Asia.
Chris Bliley with Growth Energy discusses ongoing concerns about U.S. ethanol exports and the expansion of market access promised under the Phase One deal between the U.S. and China.
“It does not extinguish right away here — in any sort of sense — the real profitability concerns and people’s ability to pay bills and get to the other side of this in the very short term. This is where the skepticism builds.”

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

USDA data confirms that U.S. agriculture remains overwhelmingly family-run despite structural shifts in scale and production, according to a new analystis by Farm Flavor.
Stronger sorghum genetics could enhance the resilience of bioenergy crops and broaden production options for growers in harsher climates.
American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) economist Danny Munch joined us on Thursday’s Market Day Report to break down the scope of the U.S. Christmas Tree industry and what growers are up against.
Rising beef supplies and lower cattle prices, weaker hog markets, and softening dairy prices will shape producer margins heading into 2026.
Canadian tariffs would raise costs for potash, ammonia, and UAN, increasing spring fertilizer risk.
Lewis Williamson with HTS Commodities breaks down the outlook on grain storage and domestic supply chain strength as producers weigh planting decisions with forthcoming federal aid.
Agriculture Shows
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.
The goal of “Where the Food Comes From” is as simple as its name implies — host Chip Carter takes you along on the journey of where our food comes from — and we don’t just mean to the supermarket (though that’s part of the big picture!). But beyond where it comes from, how it gets there, and all the links in the chain that make that happen.
Join markets specialist Scott Shellady, better known as the Cow Guy, as he covers the market-close, breaking down headlines that drive the commodities and equities markets with commentary from respected industry heavyweights.