Grain Transportation Slows as Diesel Prices Move Lower

Slower grain movement may pressure basis, but falling diesel prices could help offset transportation costs.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Grain transportation activity showed mixed signals in late November and early December, with rail volumes easing from the prior week, barge traffic falling sharply from last year, and ocean shipping steady, while diesel fuel prices declined.

U.S. Class I railroads originated 25,680 grain carloads for the week ending November 29. That total was down 17 percent from the previous week but remained 17 percent higher than the same week last year and 4 percent above the three-year average. December shuttle secondary railcar bids averaged $442 per car above tariff, down $120 week to week but still elevated compared to last year.

Barged grain movements totaled 548,900 tons for the week ending December 6, down 9 percent from the previous week and 25 percent lower than the same period a year ago. Grain barges moving downriver declined, and unloadings in the New Orleans region slipped 8 percent from the prior week.

Ocean shipping activity was stable, with freight rates to Japan unchanged. The national average diesel price fell 9.3¢ to $3.665 per gallon, though it remains above year-ago levels.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Slower grain movement may pressure basis, but falling diesel prices could help offset transportation costs.

Related Stories
Caleb Ragland, president of the American Soybean Association (ASA), shares his reaction to news of soybean sales to China, which is considered both “welcome news” and a return to near-normal trade relations.
Farm Bureau Economist Faith Parum discusses key outcomes from the U.S.-China trade agreement and the benefits of expanding trade across Southeast Asia.
Chris Bliley with Growth Energy discusses ongoing concerns about U.S. ethanol exports and the expansion of market access promised under the Phase One deal between the U.S. and China.
“It does not extinguish right away here — in any sort of sense — the real profitability concerns and people’s ability to pay bills and get to the other side of this in the very short term. This is where the skepticism builds.”
U.S. Senator Roger Marshall (R-KS) shares his perspective on the U.S.-China trade developments and their potential impact on American producers, farmers, and ranchers.
Rich Nelson, a commodity broker for Allendale Inc., joins us to break down what the U.S.-China trade agreement means for the ag economy.
The U.S.-China summit raises hopes for stronger exports and reduced barriers, but U.S. ag players should remain strategically cautious until concrete volumes and certifications materialize.
Global agriculture is stabilizing after years of price swings, with flat to modestly rising returns expected as productivity offsets slower demand growth.
Expect incremental near-term lift for feed grains, proteins, and ethanol as tariff cuts and smoother approvals translate into real orders.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Lower tariff rates and new rail-service proposals may improve corn movement efficiency during early-season marketing.
Crop producers face tightening credit and lower incomes, while strong cattle markets continue to stabilize finances in livestock-heavy regions.
Early Cattle-on-Feed estimates point to slightly tighter cattle supplies, reinforcing the need to monitor prices and timing for winter marketing.
Removing the 40% duty sharply lowers U.S. beef import costs on beef, coffee, fertilizer and fruit, and restores Brazil’s competitiveness during a period of tight domestic supply.
Row crop losses in 2025 are outpacing last year. With no disaster aid yet approved, many operations face a tough financial bridge to 2026 even as Farm Bill improvements remain a year away.
Experts say farmers and ethanol producers would benefit from a risk-based ILUC system that protects forests without relying on speculative modeling.