Grain Transportation Slows as Diesel Prices Move Lower

Slower grain movement may pressure basis, but falling diesel prices could help offset transportation costs.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Grain transportation activity showed mixed signals in late November and early December, with rail volumes easing from the prior week, barge traffic falling sharply from last year, and ocean shipping steady, while diesel fuel prices declined.

U.S. Class I railroads originated 25,680 grain carloads for the week ending November 29. That total was down 17 percent from the previous week but remained 17 percent higher than the same week last year and 4 percent above the three-year average. December shuttle secondary railcar bids averaged $442 per car above tariff, down $120 week to week but still elevated compared to last year.

Barged grain movements totaled 548,900 tons for the week ending December 6, down 9 percent from the previous week and 25 percent lower than the same period a year ago. Grain barges moving downriver declined, and unloadings in the New Orleans region slipped 8 percent from the prior week.

Ocean shipping activity was stable, with freight rates to Japan unchanged. The national average diesel price fell 9.3¢ to $3.665 per gallon, though it remains above year-ago levels.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Slower grain movement may pressure basis, but falling diesel prices could help offset transportation costs.

Related Stories
The U.S. Meat Export Federation plans to expand its global market presence in the New Year and says it is focusing its appeal on the growing middle class worldwide.
Improving consumer confidence supports baseline food and fuel demand, but cautious spending limits upside potential for ag markets in 2026.
Strong ethanol production and export trends continue to support corn demand despite seasonal fuel consumption softness.
Cotton demand depends on demonstrating performance and reliability buyers can rely on, not messaging alone.
A look at the legislative year ahead as lawmakers return to Washington with a slate of trade concerns to tackle in 2026—from new Chinese tariffs on beef imports to the USMCA review this summer.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

A mid-January winter storm delivered snow, ice, and extreme cold to a broad swath of the U.S., disrupting transportation, stressing livestock systems, and adding cost and complexity to winter farm operations as producers look toward spring.
Heavier weights and strong late-year slaughter supported December production, but lower annual totals highlight ongoing supply tightness heading into 2026.
Strong production and rising stocks may pressure ethanol margins unless demand or exports continue to improve.
Rising import pressure and tougher export competition are likely to persist into 2026, supporting domestic supplies while capping export growth.
Without additional support, many soybean operations will continue to face financial stress as they prepare for the 2026 crop.
Placements and marketings beat expectations, but declining on-feed totals and feeder constraints keep the supply story supportive for cattle prices into 2026. Dr. Derrell Peel, with Oklahoma State University, joined us to break down cattle-on-feed numbers and provide his broader market outlook.