Grain Transportation Slows as Diesel Prices Move Lower

Slower grain movement may pressure basis, but falling diesel prices could help offset transportation costs.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Grain transportation activity showed mixed signals in late November and early December, with rail volumes easing from the prior week, barge traffic falling sharply from last year, and ocean shipping steady, while diesel fuel prices declined.

U.S. Class I railroads originated 25,680 grain carloads for the week ending November 29. That total was down 17 percent from the previous week but remained 17 percent higher than the same week last year and 4 percent above the three-year average. December shuttle secondary railcar bids averaged $442 per car above tariff, down $120 week to week but still elevated compared to last year.

Barged grain movements totaled 548,900 tons for the week ending December 6, down 9 percent from the previous week and 25 percent lower than the same period a year ago. Grain barges moving downriver declined, and unloadings in the New Orleans region slipped 8 percent from the prior week.

Ocean shipping activity was stable, with freight rates to Japan unchanged. The national average diesel price fell 9.3¢ to $3.665 per gallon, though it remains above year-ago levels.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Slower grain movement may pressure basis, but falling diesel prices could help offset transportation costs.

Related Stories
Transportation access, legal disputes, and fertilizer freight costs will directly influence input pricing and grain movement in 2026.
Despite China’s sharp drop in grain purchases this year, new USDA export data this week shows that even some buying activity from the trade giant still moves the markets.
Corn and wheat exports remain supportive, but weaker soybean demand — especially from China — continues to pressure oilseed markets.
China’s pullback is hitting core U.S. commodities hard, reshaping export expectations for soybeans, cotton, grains, and livestock.
A new study found that retaining the EPA’s half-RIN credit protects soybean demand, farm income, and crushing-sector strength while preserving biofuel market flexibility.
“I’m not sure where this bridge goes,” trader Brady Huck with Advanced Trading told RFD-TV News earlier this week.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

While short-term volatility remains a risk, softer ocean freight rates in 2026 could improve export margins.
Trade volatility and shifting export destinations increase marketing risk for producers heading into 2026.
Rising rural business confidence supports local ag economies, but taxes and labor shortages remain key constraints.
The proposal signals a renewed push to offset tariff-driven losses, stabilize nutrition programs, and broaden eligibility for farm aid, though its path forward will depend on congressional negotiations.
Soft equipment sales signal cautious farm spending as producers prioritize cash flow over expansion.
Wind repowering offers a rare opportunity to renegotiate outdated leases and improve long-term land income for landowners who act early.