Hop Stocks Fall as Brewer Demand Remains Uneven

Lower hop stocks may support prices in the near term.

farm to tap gfx.jpg

Market Day Report

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — U.S. hop inventories declined heading into spring, reflecting tighter supplies and shifting demand across brewing markets as producers monitor inventory levels and pricing trends. The latest USDA data highlights continued adjustment in hop stocks following earlier surpluses.

USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service reported March 1 hop stocks totaled 147 million pounds, down about 13% from 169 million pounds a year ago. Stocks held by growers and dealers accounted for 127 million pounds, while brewers held about 20 million pounds, both lower than last year.

Operationally, the drawdown suggests brewers and distributors continue working through inventories built during stronger production cycles. Lower stocks may also reflect more cautious purchasing tied to softer craft beer demand and changing consumption patterns across domestic markets.

Regionally, nearly all U.S. hop production is concentrated in Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, meaning inventory shifts directly affect growers and processors across the Pacific Northwest supply chain.

Looking ahead, producers will watch brewery demand trends and acreage decisions closely, as tighter inventories could support prices if beer production stabilizes during 2026.

Related Stories
Falling livestock prices, combined with higher input costs, continue to squeeze farm profitability heading into 2026.
Smaller cow numbers and a declining calf crop point to prolonged tight cattle supplies, limiting near-term herd rebuilding potential.
The federal government’s status is far from the only factor moving the markets on Friday. Two critical reports released today on producer inflation and the status of the U.S. cattle herd are also top of mind.
Record milk output looks strong today, but shrinking replacement numbers mean future supply adjustments could be faster and more volatile.
Often overlooked, cotton wholesalers act as stabilizers during market stress, translating fragmented retail demand into workable production programs for mills and manufacturers.
Strong blending demand continues to support ethanol use even as production and exports fluctuate.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Pollination costs remain volatile, raising planning risk for specialty crop producers.
The USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum highlights modest price support from tighter supplies across cotton, grains, dairy, livestock, and sugar into 2026.
Farm Bureau Economist Faith Parum discusses the latest Farm Bill proposal and the path ahead for Congress and U.S. agriculture.
President Donald Trump signed an executive order this week to accelerate domestic production of phosphorus and glyphosate, signaling that farm input availability is now treated as a national security risk.
The global rice surplus outweighs tighter U.S. supplies, pressuring prices.
A weaker dollar supports export demand and may strengthen crop prices.
Agriculture Shows
Special 3-part series tells the story of the Claas family’s legacy, which changed agriculture forever.
From soil to harvest. Top Crop is an all-new series about four of the best farmers in the world—Dan Luepkes, of Oregan, Illinois; Cory Atley, of Cedarville, Ohio; Shelby Fite, of Jackson Center, Ohio; Russell Hedrick, of Hickory, North Carolina—reveals what it takes for them to make a profitable crop. It all starts with good soil, patience, and a strong planter setup.
Champions of Rural America is a half-hour dive into the legislative priorities for Rural America. Join us as we interview members of the Congressional Western Caucus to learn about efforts in Washington to preserve agriculture and tackles the most important topics in the ag industry on Champions of Rural America!
Featuring members of Congress, federal and state officials, ag and food leaders, farmers, and roundtable panelists for debates and discussions.